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RE: Butler/Iowa Western -- who wins?

Posted: 11/19/2012 1:36 PM

RE: Butler/Iowa Western -- who wins? 

Irish2009 wrote: I like what you said about the second half, 79, and I think you're right... If IWCC is trailing at half the game is over. Heck, IWCC hasn't really trailed once this year, have they? Their starters haven't had to play a full game. They went into the 2nd quarter of the game against GA Mil tied, and their conference championship game was scoreless after one quarter (in the same horrible weather as ours was).

I don't think IWCC has played against a real defense once this year, so we'll see how Butler handles them. Really, from the limited hightlights on youtube they remind me of Hutch a few years ago - stud WR, very quick RB, and a capable QB. Shutting down their two biggest playmakers and putting pressure on the QB (which we know Butler can do to just about anybody) could really shake up IWCC's plan.

The only points Butler allowed in the second half during the regular season...
a garbage time TD to AFP

During the playoffs they allowed 4 second-half scores...
-3 in the championship game during that bizarre streak in the 3rd quarter when the Grizzlies turned the ball over three times in a row (well, one was a partially blocked punt) - two field goals and one TD - not a bad job by the defense considering Hutch started those drives at Butler's 30, 17, and 3, although I'm sure Schaffner wanted the d to create a takeaway.
-one to garden early in the 3rd quarter

With all the speculation and the unknown factor of facing a new opponent, I'm very much looking forward to the bowl game at the UNI-dome.
I was going to comment on the Hutch scores in the second half of that game, but I thought it would clutter up the point.  You hit the nail on the head, though.  Those scores were exclusively due to turnovers.  I'm not sure that the D even gave up a first down on any of those drives.  Unless you can force a TO or block a kick, you can't stop someone from scoring when he starts in your red zone.  The D played very well to hold Hutch to 13 points off of those three turnovers.  If we would have had a big lead, Hutch would have pressed it on fourth down (rather than kicking FGs) and probably scored only once (the TD from the 3 yard line). 

The fact is, the vast majority of the scoring against Butler has been in the first half -- probably a hell of a lot of it in the first Q.  Once the D gets settled in and makes the necessary adjustments, it's hard to score on.

I think the comparison to Hutch is apt.  The only glaring difference between IWCC and past Hutch teams is that past Hutch teams have been much more run heavy offenses.  Offensively, I think this IWCC team is more like this year's Hutch team, but with a stud WR.  Barnes and Waters appear to have similar skill sets, and both teams have solid ground games.  Hutch has good receivers, but no one who stacks up to Deon Long.  Although, I don't think Deon Long stacks up to Cordarelle Patterson, and Butler did just fine stopping him twice per year for two consecutive years. 

This is going to be a fun matchup -- Oregon vs. Alabama style.
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Posted: 11/21/2012 11:26 AM

RE: Butler/Iowa Western -- who wins? 

I'm eager for this matchup. New team, new venue (for me -- not for the old boosters since Butler played at the UNI Dome in 1989) and a national championship on the line. I think we're going to find out a lot about both teams. It should be a good game with the talent level that is going to be on the field. I imagine there will be a who's who of coaches at this game being on a Sunday. Honestly, Dec. 2 can't come soon enough.
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Posted: 11/21/2012 3:21 PM

RE: Butler/Iowa Western -- who wins? 

If I remember correctly the Hutch Iowa western preseason scrimmage was won by Iowa like 21-7.
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