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Most disappointing Recruiting Classes

Posted: 2/8/2013 8:56 AM

Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


According to USA Today, U of L, Mizzo, So.Cal
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Posted: 2/8/2013 9:36 AM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



TerryBlue wrote: According to USA Today, U of L, Mizzo, So.Cal

Very nice!!!
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Posted: 2/8/2013 9:38 AM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


That rag is weird. USC had more 5 star recruiits than any other school, yet they are disappointing. Because of size? Does size matter?

Nevermind.
If history does actually repeat itself, I am sooo getting a pet dinosaur!
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Posted: 2/8/2013 10:30 AM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Just another writer who looks at the team ranking and has no idea about what is really going on.

USC has a 4.42 star avg. The highest of any school. Yes they lost a couple of kids late including Hatcher but the reality they only had 15 scholarships to offer and they can use those 3 extra unused scholarships next year when they need them more.

As for UL the writer like you guys has no clue as to what the UL program has done and say we should have done better after the Sugar bowl win and he looks at the team rankings to come to this conclusion. The problem is the team ranking is more than 50% based upon quanity not quality. Teams who sign small classes are hammered in points. In additon transfers are never counted either. Here are the facts.

UL choose to accept 5 transfers since last May. Because of this they only had about 16-17 open scholarships and 10 of them were taken by commits before the Sugar Bowl. The reality is UL could add only 6-7 kids after the Bowl win and that group of 6 was over 3 star avg. Not to bad! 

Those transfers

Milton      4 star  # 17 WR  2010  UT
Clark       3 star  # 59 CB  2010  FL
Christian  4 star  #  3 TE   2010 FL
Baily       3 star   # 33 S    2012 FL
Pike        4 Star  # 16 QB  2012 Auburn ( TE or DE for UL)

If you add the points from these 5 guys to the UL class it is top 30 with a 3.14 star avg.
on Scout.

Chistian will start & Milton & Clark will play this year with 1 season of practice in the UL program and 3 years of BCS level workouts. They have 2 years of college left pretty much the same as the UK jucos. I will take them over extra JUCO or HS kids but we will see how it works out. 

Even if you don't count the transfers the UL per play Star avg is higher than UK according to Scout slightly behind on Rivals who has UK higher. I am saying player avg. not class rank which is all about total points.

If you use the Matt Jones best of theory where he says UK has 6 - kids who are 4 star on one of the 4 services UL has 6 as well so I guess we tie.

Finally the SUgar Bowl & ACC benifits for UL will kick in for next years class. Many of the top players were comitted long before the season was even over last year.


Last edited 2/8/2013 5:08 PM by jvolk

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Posted: 2/8/2013 12:34 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



jvolk wrote:

Just another writer who looks at the team ranking and has no idea about what is really going on.

USC has a 4.42 star avg. The highest of any school. Yes they lost a couple of kids late including Hatcher but the reality they only had 15 scholarships to offer and they can use those 3 extra unused scholarships next year when they need them more.

As for UL the writer like you guys has no clue as to what the UL program has done and say we should have done better after the Sugar bowl win and he looks at the team rankings to come to this conclusion. The problem is the team ranking is more than 50% based upon quanity not quality. Teams who sign small classes are hammered in points. In additon transfers are never counted either. Here are the facts.

UL choose to accept 5 transfers since last May. Because of this they only had about 16-17 open scholarships and 10 of them were taken by commits before the Sugar Bowl. The reality is UL could add only 6-7 kids after the Bowl win and that group of 6 was over 3 star avg. Not to bad! 

Those transfers

Milton      4 star  # 17 WR  2010  UT
Clark       3 star  # 59 CB  2010  FL
Christian  4 star  #  3 TE   2010 FL
Baily       3 star   # 33 S    2012 FL
Pike        4 Star  # 16 QB  2012 Auburn ( TE or DE for UL)

If you add the points from these 5 guys to the UL class it is top 30 with a 3.14 star avg.
on Scout.

Chistian will start & Milton & Clark will play this year with 1 season of practice in the UL program and 3 years of BCS level workouts. They have 2 years of college left pretty much the same as the UK jucos. I will take them over extra JUCO or HS kids but we will see how it works out. 

Even if you don't count the transfers the UL per play Star avg is higher than UK according to Scout.

If you use the Matt Jones best of theory where he says UK has 6 - kids who are 4 star on one of the 4 services UL has 6 as well so I guess we tie.

Finally the SUgar Bowl & ACC benifits for UL will kick in for next years class. Many of the top players were comitted long before the season was even over last year.



Question for you jvolk...why do you think UL gets so many transfers? We've had (what seems like) very few at UK, but UL has gotten key ones going back (at least) to Petrino's tenure (Montrell Jones, Eric Shelton).
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Posted: 2/8/2013 1:35 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Let's play game called "what would UL fans say about UK if they accepted all of those transfers?"  I will give you first shot.  Go!

(and, I thought Pike was already kicked off UL's team)
jvolk wrote:


Those transfers

Milton      4 star  # 17 WR  2010  UT
Clark       3 star  # 59 CB  2010  FL
Christian  4 star  #  3 TE   2010 FL
Baily       3 star   # 33 S    2012 FL
Pike        4 Star  # 16 QB  2012 Auburn ( TE or DE for UL)


Last edited 2/8/2013 1:36 PM by Badinage

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Posted: 2/8/2013 1:43 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


If we had a class ranked like UL's, then they'd be all over it. I think the writer analyzed things closely. UL-Coming off of a Sugar Bowl win with only what 2 four star signees was VERY disappointing, we had 8 ranked in one service or another. MIzzo-Well they finished last in the SEC So.Cal-Yes, by any standard they had a great recruiting year but they lost something like 5 committed players including Jason Hatcher, so it was diaappointing from that angle
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Posted: 2/8/2013 1:47 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


To answer the question, I really don't know.  We've had some successes but we've had some miserable failures also (Willie Williams).

As a fan you never know if he is a good kid in a bad situation, a kid who made a mistake and deserves a second chance at a new place, or a troublemaker.

Pike sure seems to have a lot of baggage.  I read somewhere that he had been kicked off the team and given a list of things to do to get back on and he did them and is back with the team, but don't know how true that is.  We'll all get the answer in August if not before.
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Posted: 2/8/2013 1:49 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



TerryBlue wrote: If we had a class ranked like UL's, then they'd be all over it. I think the writer analyzed things closely. UL-Coming off of a Sugar Bowl win with only what 2 four star signees was VERY disappointing, we had 8 ranked in one service or another. MIzzo-Well they finished last in the SEC So.Cal-Yes, by any standard they had a great recruiting year but they lost something like 5 committed players including Jason Hatcher, so it was diaappointing from that angle
I thought we would do better and will not make any excuses about it.
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Posted: 2/8/2013 3:07 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



jvolk wrote:


If you use the Matt Jones best of theory where he says UK has 6 - kids who are 4 star on one of the 4 services UL has 6 as well so I guess we tie.





UK had 8 players rated as a 4-star or better by at least one service:

Here's what Kentucky's class looks like:

NamePosHtWtScoutRivals24/7ESPNAvg
1Blake McClainDB5'11"1813.003.003.003.003.00
2Jaleel HytchyeDB5'11"1653.003.003.004.003.25
3Jeff BadetWR5'11"1603.003.003.003.003.00
4Justin DayOL6'8"2852.003.002.002.002.25
5Kyle MeadowsOL6'5"2703.003.003.003.003.00
6Marcus McWilsonDB6'0"1954.004.004.004.004.00
7Nate WillisDB6'0"1803.003.003.003.003.00
8Nick HaynesOL6'4"2942.003.003.003.002.75
9Ramsey MeyersOL6'3"2903.003.003.003.003.00
10Reese PhillipsQB6'3"2102.003.003.002.002.50
11Regie MeantDT6'5"2713.002.003.003.002.75
12Ryan TimmonsWR5'10"1863.003.004.004.003.50
13Steven BordenTE6'3"2502.002.002.003.002.25
14Za'Darius SmithDE6'5"2523.004.004.004.003.75
15Alvonte BellDE6'6"2284.003.003.003.003.25
16Austin MacGinnisK5'11"1702.003.003.003.002.75
17Jacob HydeDT6'2"3133.003.003.003.003.00
18Javess BlueWR6'1"1953.003.003.004.003.25
19Alex MontgomeryWR6'1"1803.003.003.003.003.00
20Jojo KempRB5'10"1893.003.003.004.003.25
21Khalid ThomasATH5'10"1753.003.003.003.003.00
22Jason HatcherDE6'2"2404.004.003.004.003.75
Service Average2.913.053.053.233.06
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Posted: 2/8/2013 3:08 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


I think the point of that statement is to show that some of our 3 stars are borderline 4's.
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Posted: 2/8/2013 3:21 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Since when are transfers counted as part of a recruiting class?  Just more rationalization and excuse making by UL fans.  When they get a highly rated player like Quick, then the stars mean everything.  Otherwise the recruiting services are a bunch of idiots apparently.

Just for fun, I looked up UK and UL on the four big recruiting sources, concentrating only on the top ten rated players for each school, since UL fans seem to think they have a higher average overall and they would be higher ranked with more recruits.  Which school actually recruiting more highly touted players?  Just looking at 10 of their 16 signees and 10 of UK's 22 signees, with class rank first followed by "average star rating" of those top 10 signees:

Scout
UK  #39, 3.3
UL  #55, 3.3

247
UK  #36, 3.3
UL  #42, 3.2

Rivals
UK  #28, 3.3
UL  #57, 3.1

ESPN
UK  #36, 3.6
UL  #43, 3.5

AVERAGE
UK  #34.75, 3.375
UL  #49.25, 3.275

All of the little brothers on here may feel free to take this back to their board and see how it's rationalized.  The recruiting services seem to be unanimous in their belief that UK not only beat UL overall, but also in average star ranking.
Don't panic
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Posted: 2/8/2013 3:32 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Rationalize all they want, but the CRAZY part about the classes are the seasons that both teams are coming off of.  Even if the classes are even, we are WAY, WAY better off now than we could have been with pretty much any other coaching hire, and especially with Joker.
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Posted: 2/8/2013 4:09 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


The very fact that this comparison is being discussed means UL had a disappointing year. C'mon we finished 2-10 with a staff in place only a couple of mos. UL goes 10-2 with a Sugar Bowl win and a staff in place for 3 years, enough said
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Posted: 2/8/2013 5:16 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Marcus McWilson is a 3* on ESPN
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Posted: 2/8/2013 5:21 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


I am sure these is lots of reasons some schools take more transfers. For UL Strong has alot of contacts. Christian & CLark were recruited by Strong when he was at the Florida. Usually kids transfer when they are not happy. I know in the case of Christian & Clark they were not happy at Florida when Urban left. Rumor was that MIlton was unhappy at UT because he was not playing enough. I am not saying they are all great players. We will see the next few years on the field.

All I was really saying is that the UL class is more than the 16 players listed by C-USA and all the web sites.

As for UK and transfers remember all 5 transfers UL has taken under Strong have been from SEC schools. UK  cannot take SEC transfers by league rule or altleast that is what I have read. There is probably not alot of players from outside of the SEC who are not playing that can play in the SEC or atleast that is a theory.




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Posted: 2/8/2013 5:32 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Catfran. I like your work.

Like I said throw the class rank out it is all based upon quanity of players. UK has 22 & UL has 16. Scout and 247 take your top 25 recruits and add the points. UL has on 16 so we they are losing oints for up to 9 players. UK is has 22. Rivals take only your top 20 recruits and throws the lowest over 20 out and that is why UK is higher in Rivals again UL loses points for 4 missing recruits. The truth is UK has a better class than many schools listed ahead of them on star avg. as well.

AVERAGE
UK  #34.75, 3.375
UL  #49.25, 3.275

 I said UL was the about the same for star avg. and I was close without doing all that work; but you are making my point. The star avg is about the same if you want to say the UK class is .10 higher so be it.

I know the transfers don't count in recruit rankings but they will be playing on the field and that is what is important.

One reason UK did so well this year is they had lots of playing time to sell. Many of your recruits said they like UK becasue they can play right away and they will. Hatcher expects to start though I think that is yet to be seen. Chalrie got alot of recruits his first  2 years selling playing time as well. Now all of those guys who played as Freshmen going to be upperclassmen and UL had no playing time to sell and Ul lost some recruits to schools who had playing time. Most of the UL 16 recruits will redshirt and QUick is probably the only lock to play though I am sure a few others might see the field at some point.









Last edited 2/8/2013 5:40 PM by jvolk

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Posted: 2/8/2013 6:11 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


It wasn't very much work.  Took me about 5 minutes and I did it as I typed.  The reason I looked at it is because UL fans seem to be under the impression they have better recruits, just fewer of them.  This isn't true according to the ratings services, and as UL fans begin to realize this they start downplaying the services.

BTW, isn't playing time the supposed reason Bridgewater went to Louisville?  It's obviously being overstated by jealous and irrational UL fans as a reason why anyone would want to come to UK, but is it a bad thing?  Should we not recruit players that crave playing time?  Is James Quick scared to play right away, so he shied away from UK?
Don't panic
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Posted: 2/8/2013 6:28 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Signees at UK and UL will both be given the chance to play right away if they can beat out the guys that are already in the programs. Do you think Charley Strong told any of his signees that they had NO chance to play as freshmen, doubt it. Most of the UK signees said they came to UK because of:SEC, facilities and campus, coaching staff, style of play, and yes the opportunity to play right away
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Posted: 2/8/2013 6:41 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Also, Mark Stoops did exceptionally well in the state, especially when one considers he's only been here for a couple of months.       

According to ESPN, UK got two of the state's five 4-star players, rated 83 and 82 in Hatcher and Timmons, as well as Jacob Hyde, a high 3-star with a 77.  UL got one 4-star in Quick with an 84 and a 3-star in Bolin with a 78.  The state's other two really highly rated players this year went elsewhere--Hunter Bivin (4 star, 84) signed with Notre Dame and Ryan White (4 star, 80) to Vandy.  Whichever school does the best job of keeping the homegrown talent at home usually beats the other one on the field also.
Don't panic
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Posted: 2/8/2013 6:52 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


As I understand it, this thread is not the opinion of any UK fans or any other fans but rather the opinion of USA Today.
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Posted: 2/8/2013 7:15 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


The very fact that this comparison is being discussed means UL had a disappointing year. C'mon we finished 2-10 with a staff in place only a couple of mos. UL goes 10-2 with a Sugar Bowl win and a staff in place for 3 years, enough said

Pretty disengenuous comment coming from you Terry, particularly considering that you started the OP by reporting what one writer submits, "UL having one of the most disappointing recruiting classses".

No one on the UL side is suggesting that UK had a disappointing class, simply showing that aside from the differences between the size of the two classes there is not much variance in the individual overall star rating. UK should be proud of the class, as it is a very good one ............ particulary given the coaching change and the short time Stoops and staff had to recruit.

When you examine the number of returning starters, the number of underclassmen and the number of experienced underclassmen in the depth chart at UL, it should be easy to see why the 2013 class had only 16 recruits and why some kids were questioning their likelihood of playing ahead of those kids.

If you want to understand where UL football is at this point in time relative to overall talent using the star rating as criteria, I would encourage you to take a look at the number of 4 star and 3 star kids on this 2013 UL roster. UL has now the first 4 years of Charlie Strong recruiting classes and the number of kids that were either 4 and/or 3 star is unprecedented and a good barometer of where we are and where we will be as compared to past UL teams.

As to transfers at UL ............... ask yourself a question; would you prefer to have JUCOs enter your class, or 3 and 4 star transfers who had the benefit of playing and/or practicing at a top SEC school, plus having the added benefit of practicing with your school for one year before having 2 or 4 years eligibility? JUCOs can be very good and this is not to discount their contribution, but there is no comparison to the value of having a kid come in with experience at a top SEC school and the extra year of practice with your school.   
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Posted: 2/8/2013 8:21 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



SQUASHBUGS wrote: That rag is weird. USC had more 5 star recruiits than any other school, yet they are disappointing. Because of size? Does size matter?

Nevermind.
Ask the little woman.  :)
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Posted: 2/8/2013 8:28 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



CatFansince73 wrote: Since when are transfers counted as part of a recruiting class?  Just more rationalization and excuse making by UL fans.  When they get a highly rated player like Quick, then the stars mean everything.  Otherwise the recruiting services are a bunch of idiots apparently.

Just for fun, I looked up UK and UL on the four big recruiting sources, concentrating only on the top ten rated players for each school, since UL fans seem to think they have a higher average overall and they would be higher ranked with more recruits.  Which school actually recruiting more highly touted players?  Just looking at 10 of their 16 signees and 10 of UK's 22 signees, with class rank first followed by "average star rating" of those top 10 signees:

Scout
UK  #39, 3.3
UL  #55, 3.3

247
UK  #36, 3.3
UL  #42, 3.2

Rivals
UK  #28, 3.3
UL  #57, 3.1

ESPN
UK  #36, 3.6
UL  #43, 3.5

AVERAGE
UK  #34.75, 3.375
UL  #49.25, 3.275

All of the little brothers on here may feel free to take this back to their board and see how it's rationalized.  The recruiting services seem to be unanimous in their belief that UK not only beat UL overall, but also in average star ranking.
Should have thrown IU into the mix. According to some these evaluators IU had a better class than UofL
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Posted: 2/9/2013 10:40 AM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Can anyone tell me how many Juco players UK and ulol have?
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Posted: 2/9/2013 12:03 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


U of L fans can try to spin it all they want by saying its because of playing time, size of the class, juco's, yada yada yada.. The bottom line is that Stoops had 2 months to recruit a program that had 2 wins the previous year and cholly had a year and 11 wins and Coach Stoops got better players. The only people in the world who would say UK didnt get better players are delusional card fans.

Also for card fans to think that the upcoming years will be different is wishful thinking. Give Coach stoops a full year to recruit, over 100 million in facility upgrades, unprecedented excitement around the program, and a product to sell on the field, and its a safe bet that our recruiting will only get better from here.
I BLEED BLUE
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Posted: 2/9/2013 12:18 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


I'd like for someone to try to discuss "intelligently" how UL fans shouldn't be disappointed when we're even talking about comparing recruiting classes, they can't:UL went 10-2, won the Sugar Bowl, and has had a staff in place for 3 years. We went 2-10, haven't been to the Sugar Bowl in 60+ years, and have had a staff in place for 2 mos. Now, tell me again who overachieved and who underachieved in recruiting this year.
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Posted: 2/9/2013 12:19 PM

Re: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



jvolk wrote:

I am sure these is lots of reasons some schools take more transfers. For UL Strong has alot of contacts. Christian & CLark were recruited by Strong when he was at the Florida. Usually kids transfer when they are not happy. I know in the case of Christian & Clark they were not happy at Florida when Urban left. Rumor was that MIlton was unhappy at UT because he was not playing enough. I am not saying they are all great players. We will see the next few years on the field.

All I was really saying is that the UL class is more than the 16 players listed by C-USA and all the web sites.

As for UK and transfers remember all 5 transfers UL has taken under Strong have been from SEC schools. UK  cannot take SEC transfers by league rule or altleast that is what I have read. There is probably not alot of players from outside of the SEC who are not playing that can play in the SEC or atleast that is a theory.





Good point on the SEC not allowing transfers. It seems that UL has turned that into a positive in several cases, and I guess you can blame them. Cam Newton had to go to JUCO for a year before ending up back in the SEC at Auburn.

There are some character issue gambles, but as 233 points out above, if you ahve the advantage of taking and SEC caliber player who has had one or two years in that level of strength and conditioning and competition in practice every day, it's is probably better than JUCO kids on average.

Maybe we'll get the kid from Nebraska since we don't have access to SEC transfers.
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Posted: 2/9/2013 12:52 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 



TerryBlue wrote: I'd like for someone to try to discuss "intelligently" how UL fans shouldn't be disappointed when we're even talking about comparing recruiting classes, they can't:UL went 10-2, won the Sugar Bowl, and has had a staff in place for 3 years. We went 2-10, haven't been to the Sugar Bowl in 60+ years, and have had a staff in place for 2 mos. Now, tell me again who overachieved and who underachieved in recruiting this year.
To me there is no question you guys overachieved this year.  As I told someone else, if he can coach as well as he can recruit you guys are going to be just fine.

As for us, I am disappointed.  I'd like to think it is because of the crappy conference we are in but I would have thought that would have changed with our announcement to the ACC.  Maybe we will be somewhat like Boise State who rarely gets a top class but always plays well.

One more thing:  if you gave me the choice of failing on one of the following:  Earning a BCS berth, keeping Strong, winning the Sugar Bowl, going to the ACC and having a highly-rated recruiting class,  I would pick recruiting in a heartbeat.

Last edited 2/9/2013 12:57 PM by mcg48

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Posted: 2/9/2013 2:00 PM

RE: Most disappointing Recruiting Classes 


Star averages aren't always accurate either. For all I know man for man UL may have had the better class, as I've only seen snippets of UK players and none of UL
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