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Predictions

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Posted: 11/6/2012 8:54 AM

Predictions 


I'll take Obama winning with 274. I think Romney will clean up the SouthEast. Popular vote will be at 50%-50%.

I'll also take Warren beating Brown in Mass 51-49, Cicilline winning in RI 53-47.




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Posted: 11/6/2012 10:03 AM

Re: Predictions 


I predict that we won't know the results of a lot of the elections (many of the local races) especially here on Long Island for quite some time. With the Governor allowing people to vote out of district with affidavit voting, the amount of manual counting, not to mention determining which candidates a person is even supposed to be voting for in certain districts, will be insane. At my polling place they are almost out of affidavit ballots already because we are getting a ton of Adelphi students voting. I doubt these kids realize that if they aren't registered to vote in NY the vote won't count but the poll workers aren't allowed to ask them anything really. There are going to be a TON of lawsuits associated with this election because of the weather affecting things today so greatly.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 11:17 AM

Re: Predictions 


This is in line with what I'm expecting. 
I don't see Obama having over 300 electoral votes, but expect him to win ~274 electoral votes.

I'll take Brown over Warren 50/50.  I don't know the details of the Cicilline race.

Gillen4 wrote: I'll take Obama winning with 274. I think Romney will clean up the SouthEast. Popular vote will be at 50%-50%.

I'll also take Warren beating Brown in Mass 51-49, Cicilline winning in RI 53-47.

“I don’t feel student-athletes should get hundreds of thousands of dollars, but like I said, there are hungry nights that I go to bed and I’m starving,” Napier said to reporters.

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Posted: 11/6/2012 11:25 AM

RE: Predictions 


Not feeling good about Scott Brown sadly. I don't have a particular hatred for Warren, I just think she's not going to be the type to end the bipartisan divisiveness in Congress. Brown was a pretty moderate player - in general, I've been voting the last few years for whoever is closest to the middle.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 11:41 AM

Re: Predictions 



friarfan7 wrote:   I don't know the details of the Cicilline race.

Cmon ff, he's your avatar!




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Posted: 11/6/2012 11:44 AM

Re: Predictions 


The avatar is because I thought he fathered Angel Taveres' child based on an old string on the OT board.

Gillen4 wrote:
friarfan7 wrote:   I don't know the details of the Cicilline race.

Cmon ff, he's your avatar!

“I don’t feel student-athletes should get hundreds of thousands of dollars, but like I said, there are hungry nights that I go to bed and I’m starving,” Napier said to reporters.

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Posted: 11/6/2012 1:27 PM

Re: Predictions 


Tomorrow, the country will remain as divided as it is today...only, it will be angrier...

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Posted: 11/6/2012 1:36 PM

RE: Predictions 



gofriars08 wrote: Not feeling good about Scott Brown sadly. I don't have a particular hatred for Warren, I just think she's not going to be the type to end the bipartisan divisiveness in Congress. Brown was a pretty moderate player - in general, I've been voting the last few years for whoever is closest to the middle.

100% agree. Scott Brown is deseprately needed in DC. I hope if Obama wins, he makes Kerry sec of state so Brown can go for that seat. He would also make a great governor, but that is not where he is needed.

The sad thing is that Warren would be a great head of a consumer protection bureau. It would be the perfect place for her. She could run the division and government would allow her to make her stance and either vote it up or down. Instead, the GOP freaked out about it, threatned holy hell about her running it, made Obama choose somebody else, and now one of the best moderate voices in DC will be unemployed. I don't like all of the things Brown represents, but I do know he is honest about them.

I still say Obama 290-248. Ciciline 53-45. Warren 51-48. Whitehouse 57-41.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 2:07 PM

RE: Predictions 


I really got turned off with how Brown and the pacs behind him ran this campaign. I think his campaign just pecked away at his own strength - likability. They had such an advantage there over Warren. But trying to hang onto that Cherokee thing for 8 months, the asbestos thing, calling her "Professor"...it all came off terrible. He really shouldn't be in the position he's in today. If they just stayed focused on independent voice, bipartisan, blah blah blah he probably would have been fine.




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Posted: 11/6/2012 2:10 PM

RE: Predictions 


I disagree. Brown had no chance in this election. A well funded candidate with enormous credentials and the election was at the same time as the presidential. If he had been running in 2014, he wins easily.

If you think he went on the attack too much in this campaign, can't wait to see what you think of your favorite Republican, Christie, in 2016...
Gillen4 wrote: I really got turned off with how Brown and the pacs behind him ran this campaign. I think his campaign just pecked away at his own strength - likability. They had such an advantage there over Warren. But trying to hang onto that Cherokee thing for 8 months, the asbestos thing, calling her "Professor"...it all came off terrible. He really shouldn't be in the position he's in today. If they just stayed focused on independent voice, bipartisan, blah blah blah he probably would have been fine.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 2:14 PM

RE: Predictions 


Absolutely different case Bip. Christie's strong suit is not likability. Brown's is. They carved away at the one thing he was very good at.




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Posted: 11/6/2012 2:53 PM

RE: Predictions 


Brown just got outspent and his opponent is riding the Obama ticket. In a diehard blue state, that's really tough to beat. My guess is he makes a hard run to replace Patrick on Beacon Hill.

BiP, totally agree on Warren - I am guessing the RNC is wishing they had just let her take over the CFPB rather than steal away a cherished Senate seat.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:17 PM

RE: Predictions 


Vote, it's your duty!

Time for millions of dim Americans to run off and poke chads and pull levers in the delusional belief that THIS TIME their choice for president will make a difference.
It's important that you vote, good citizen, because voting shows that you still believe in the illusion of choice.

What's it going to be then, eh? The old corporate whoring war monger statist inflationist? Or the new corporate whoring war monger statist inflationist?

Well, have no worries good citizen! Either one will guarantee a continued bloated military industrial complex that spends more money than the next 20 major powers combined to "protect" America by occupying Afghanistan, having carriers parked off the coast of Iran, and dumping money into bases located all around the territorial hegemony of the U.S. Empire, which is, of course, the world.

The next president will also increase government size and intrusion into your life (roll back socialized medicine? Not a chance! About as much of a chance of MR doing that as BO closing gitmo!). Perhaps expand the U.S. drone program. Require a bio identification device. Double the size of the DHS to protects us even more from marauding Canadians.

Illegal Immigration? No worries there mate! Neither candidate will do anything constructive on that issue. I mean - it's not a secret that illegal immigrants make huge profits for mega corp, and that the old and the new guy are both corporate whores. You think they're going to bite the hand that feeds? 

Inflation? The dollar is dying a slow death. Both parties have allowed the Fed to print money. That has always ended in catastrophe. No worries here either - neither party will take action against the Fed to end dollar devaluation. The dollar has lost about a third of its value since 2000. You wonder why Americans are getting poorer? That's why. No wage increases and dollar buying less every day. Both parties are the same here as well. Economic suicide.

So what's left? Gay marriage? Abortion? Vouchers? Coal? Oh. Interesting issues, but completely irrelevant to the future of the country. But go vote on those. 

It's your dummy duty!

Last edited 11/6/2012 4:17 PM by FriarJ

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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:24 PM

RE: Predictions 


I voted for Gary Johnson.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:37 PM

RE: Predictions 


I wrote in Ronald Reagan.


"I bleed black and white!"


Follow me on Twitter: @TheWarriorFriar

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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:37 PM

RE: Predictions 


very surprising rich. you seem to really appreciate this first term.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:49 PM

RE: Predictions 



RichardCoren wrote: I voted for Gary Johnson.
Good man
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Posted: 11/6/2012 4:52 PM

Re: Predictions 


It's unfortunate they don't include the others in debates ... I mean I looked at the presidential portion of the ballet and there were about 8 P/VP's listed, 5 of which I'm pretty sure I had never heard either person before.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 5:13 PM

RE: Predictions 


"very surprising rich. you seem to really appreciate this first term."

Obama's first term? I've been critical and written about how Obama has disappointed me. I do like Romney even less. I also posted several times on here within the past month that I was voting for Johnson.
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Posted: 11/6/2012 5:18 PM

RE: Predictions 


Rich, if you really did that, I have to give you credit.  I'd think that your belief system does not match up well with Libertarian.  Was it more of a protest vote?
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