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The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25

  • blueraiderjt
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Posted: 11/25/2012 6:49 AM

The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


UTSA won't be bowling because of their 4 FCS wins. Only 1 FCS win can count. So one of the teams that won yesterday gets their spot. Also, Georgia Tech lost to UGA and are 6-6 but will be playing for the ACC title vs. FSU. If they lose, they could be out because of the 6-7 record as well right? However, they could still be picked because of bowl eligibility. Dang it!

It's gonna be close now. A lot of teams that should have lost yesterday won and it sucks for us if we don't win on Saturday. Staying home with 8 wins would just be awful. I don't think we will stay home though.

PITT and UCONN have to win next week to be bowl eligible. If they both lose, then it helps us out a lot.

Here's what I have...

Teams that are out…
Temple
Marshall
Wake Forest
Mizzou
Troy



Teams that are in…
Central Michigan
West Virginia
Ole Miss
SMU
Va Tech
Purdue
Baylor
Michigan State
Rice



Teams still hanging in the balance…
UConn (they play Cincy next week)
Pitt (They play USF next week)
Ga Tech (pending on how they perform in the ACC title game)
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Posted: 11/25/2012 7:28 AM

Re: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


All we have to do is win next Saturday to guarantee us a spot.  Its a tall order but possible.
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  • mtsig
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Posted: 11/25/2012 7:36 AM

Re: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 




---------------------------------------------
--- blueraiderjt wrote:

UTSA won't be bowling because of their 4 FCS wins. Only 1 FCS win can count. So one of the teams that won yesterday gets their spot. Also, Georgia Tech lost to UGA and are 6-6 but will be playing for the ACC title vs. FSU. If they lose, they could be out because of the 6-7 record as well right? However, they could still be picked because of bowl eligibility. Dang it!

It's gonna be close now. A lot of teams that should have lost yesterday won and it sucks for us if we don't win on Saturday. Staying home with 8 wins would just be awful. I don't think we will stay home though.

PITT and UCONN have to win next week to be bowl eligible. If they both lose, then it helps us out a lot.

Here's what I have...

Teams that are out…
Temple
Marshall
Wake Forest
Mizzou
Troy



Teams that are in…
Central Michigan
West Virginia
Ole Miss
SMU
Va Tech
Purdue
Baylor
Michigan State
Rice



Teams still hanging in the balance…
UConn (they play Cincy next week)
Pitt (They play USF next week)
Ga Tech (pending on how they perform in the ACC title game)

---------------------------------------------
Best reason of all to get out of the SBC.
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Posted: 11/25/2012 7:37 AM

ESPN's Bowl Projections are out 


after yesterday's action and both Mark Schlabach and Brad Edwards have Middle Tennessee playing in a bowl. Schlabach puts the Blue Raiders in St. Pete at the Beef O' Brady's Bowl against Ohio and Edwards puts them in Mobile against Kent State. 

CBS's Jerry Palm has also updated his projections and has Stockstill and crew in St. Pete against UCF.


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  • blueraiderjt
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Posted: 11/25/2012 8:01 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Beef O' Brady's would be absolutely horrible for us! We play Vandy in Basketball that night at Bridgestone at the exact same time as the bowl game. Wow. We need to win Saturday!
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Posted: 11/25/2012 8:26 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Is the Military Bowl slipping away, I think that would be a great opportunity for us. I wonder how many back room conversations are going on now? Lets hope CM and crew can get it done!
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Posted: 11/25/2012 8:47 AM

Re: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


The Liberty Bowl would be the best case scenario for us as it pays out at around $1.4 million or the Military bowl ($1 million).  I believe the Beef 'O' Bradys pays out at $537,000 and the GoDaddy pays out at $750,000.  Our athletic program could sure use the money.
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Posted: 11/25/2012 8:50 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Most of the rumors going around on the Sun Belt board have us and Arkansas State in Liberty/GoDaddy. Some are saying winner goes to Liberty likely against Tulsa, and loser to Godaddy. I'd rather just have Godaddy regardless.

Last edited 11/25/2012 8:50 AM by MTowho

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  • mtsig
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Posted: 11/25/2012 9:13 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 




---------------------------------------------
--- MTowho wrote:

Most of the rumors going around on the Sun Belt board have us and Arkansas State in Liberty/GoDaddy. Some are saying winner goes to Liberty likely against Tulsa, and loser to Godaddy. I'd rather just have Godaddy regardless.

---------------------------------------------

With Ole Miss now with 6 wins would they not go to Liberty?
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Posted: 11/25/2012 9:23 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 



mtsig wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- MTowho wrote:

Most of the rumors going around on the Sun Belt board have us and Arkansas State in Liberty/GoDaddy. Some are saying winner goes to Liberty likely against Tulsa, and loser to Godaddy. I'd rather just have Godaddy regardless.

---------------------------------------------

With Ole Miss now with 6 wins would they not go to Liberty?
It looks like BBVA Compass in Birmingham has a provision where they get to pick in front of Liberty once every certain number of years, and that they will do that this year and take Ole Miss.  Who knows though.
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Posted: 11/25/2012 9:26 AM

Re: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


I just hope we go somewhere.  Worst case scenario for me would be Pizza.  I think Mobile would be the best though.  I think Massaro knows whats best for MT and it's fans.

[Insert something here]

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Posted: 11/25/2012 9:30 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Liberty is more high profile and it's a New Year's Eve game against potentially the CUSA champ. GoDaddy is more of a vacation destination in my opinion, and we get the USA basketball doubleheader as well. Liberty Bowl would split the fanbase between football and the basketball game against North Texas.
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Posted: 11/25/2012 11:48 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


The ACC's slot in the Music City Bowl could still be in play. If Georgia Tech loses the ACC title game, they're out, and the ACC will only have five available teams. That would leave them short of their Military, Independence, and Music City Bowl bids. If Vandy did get picked by another SEC bowl I think we would have a great shot at getting the ACC's slot. The only problem is they wouldn't go for a Miss St/MT rematch, so we'd have to hope for Ole Miss falling to Music City.

Last edited 11/25/2012 11:50 AM by MTowho

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Posted: 11/25/2012 11:52 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 



MTowho wrote: The ACC's slot in the Music City Bowl could still be in play. If Georgia Tech loses the ACC title game, they're out, and the ACC will only have five available teams. That would leave them short of their Military, Independence, and Music City Bowl bids. If Vandy did get picked by another SEC bowl I think we would have a great shot at getting the ACC's slot. The only problem is they wouldn't go for a Miss St/MT rematch, so we'd have to hope for Ole Miss falling to Music City.
Mississippi State is pretty much a lock for the Gator Bowl. That was their likely destination for the past few weeks. If they had beaten Ole Miss they MIGHT have gotten the Chick-Fil-A Bowl, but expectations are still that they're Tampa-bound.


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Posted: 11/25/2012 11:59 AM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Tech is in either way. this happened to UCLA last year. They were 6-6 going into to pac12 champ. UCLA submitted a waiver to the ncaa saying the 13th game wasnt on original schedule. or something of that matter. NCAA agreed. Tech will do the same I assume. I think the ACC would force them to honestly.
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Posted: 11/25/2012 12:01 PM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 



bufordfan98 wrote: Tech is in either way. this happened to UCLA last year. They were 6-6 going into to pac12 champ. UCLA submitted a waiver to the ncaa saying the 13th game wasnt on original schedule. or something of that matter. NCAA agreed. Tech will do the same I assume. I think the ACC would force them to honestly.
The order of things has changed. It isn't quite as easy as it was for UCLA last season, but they should get in IF there aren't enough bowl eligible teams.


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Posted: 11/25/2012 12:03 PM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


Yeah, I agree that Georgia Tech would be foolish not to apply for the NCAA waiver, and it'll be accepted. ACC will want to fill its bowl slots with its teams however possible. 

Several teams are going to be out now -- the question is who?
2011 GoDaddy.com Mobile Bowl
2009 New Orleans Bowl Champions
2006 Motor City Bowl

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  • mtsig
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Posted: 11/25/2012 12:15 PM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


David Climer is reporting that vandy will not be in Gator
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Posted: 11/25/2012 12:23 PM

RE: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 


6-7 teams losing their conference championship game are one of the first criteria for teams when there aren't enough to fill all slots. There are already 70 teams in, so they're toast if they don't win the ACC title. That said, the ACC will probably moan and groan and call in favors to somehow get them in to the eligible team pool anyway.

We're at 70 now with Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh, and Connecticut trying to get eligible. My guess is that Pitt gets in, but the other two do not. That will put us at 71 and in that scenario I think 6-6 Central Michigan is the team left out. All five SBC teams are bowling. If it's 72 or 73 then WKU will start sweating and to a lesser extent ULM.

Last edited 11/25/2012 12:26 PM by MTowho

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Posted: 11/25/2012 3:26 PM

Re: The Bowl Scenario as of 11/25 



SiouxRaider wrote: The Liberty Bowl would be the best case scenario for us as it pays out at around $1.4 million or the Military bowl ($1 million).  I believe the Beef 'O' Bradys pays out at $537,000 and the GoDaddy pays out at $750,000.  Our athletic program could sure use the money.
We only get money based on the tickets we sell...so lets say we sell 6K tickets at $50 = $300K.   Or at least this is the way it was in Motor City, NO Bowl and GoDaddy.
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