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The Bowl Situation

Posted: 11/4/2012 9:41 AM

The Bowl Situation 


Here's my take on the bowl situation right now.

ACC - 8 Bids
Florida St, Duke, Clemson, and winner or NC State/Wake Forest is in. Miami is essentially in. Loser of NC State/Wake Forest still has a good shot. Other than that, Virginia Tech is the only other team that would likely have a shot. If all of those teams get in, they're still one short.
Open slots: Military, maybe Independence

Big 12 - 8 slots
They'll have 8 on the dot. Nothing dramatic here.
Open slots - None.

Big East - 6 slots
Louisville, Rutgers, and Cincy are in. No one else has an easy road, but out of Temple, Pitt, and Syracuse I'd say that one of them gets hot and makes it. It probably won't be Temple as they only have 11 games and already have 5 losses. Big opportunity here, but the MAC has backup agreements with the first two available bowls - Birmingham and St. Pete.
Open slots - Beef O Brady's, BBVA Compass, maybe Pinstripe

Big Ten - 8 slots
Nebraska, Michigan, Northwestern, Wisconsin. Michigan State likely. That very well could be it given the tough schedules for the rest of the 4 and 5 win teams. I'll say one of Iowa, Minnesota, and Indiana makes it, leaving them with 6 teams. 
Open slots - Little Caesars, Heart of Dallas, maybe Meineke (Houston)

CUSA - 6 slots
ECU, UCF, and Tulsa are in. Nothing else is guaranteed but 4 win teams SMU, Houston, and Marshall have shots but they'll need upsets in a few cases. One of them will get in.
Open slots - Military, maybe two more (NOLA or Beef O Brady's)

Independents 
Notre Dame will take a BCS at large. Navy and BYU get into their respective bowl games. Army/CUSA leaves the Military slot open as mentioned above.

MAC - 3 slots
6 are in, with Miami (OH) having an outside shot. They have a backup agreement with Military, which leaves them with 2 extra teams. Likely to send them to Beef O Brady's and BBVA Compass unless something weird happens.
Open slots - None

Mountain West - 5 slots
Four more teams are already in, with a max of two more. New Mexico likely doesn't make it, leaving them even.
Open slots - none

PAC 12 - 7 slots
Five are in, with Washington, Arizona State, Arizona, Utah all fighting for a slot. Right now they might get an extra team in the BCS, leaving them even with a chance at an open New Mexico bowl slot.
Open slots - Maybe New Mexico

SEC - 10 slots
Seven teams are in. Mizzou, Tennessee, Vandy, Ole miss still have a shot. Vandy is likely in, while the loser of Mizzou and Tennessee is probably out. Ole Miss is the wild card. IF they make it, they cover all 10. If not, they don't. They'll likely get an extra BCS slot, leaving another game open.
Open slots - Independence, BBVA Compass

Sun Belt - 2 slots
Four teams are in. ULL is likely in. Troy is a wild card.
Open slots - none.

WAC - 1 slot
Louisiana Tech, Utah State, and San Jose State are in. That's it.
Open slots - none.


Extra teams
Sun Belt - 4
MAC - 3
WAC - 2

So, the following slots are what I think will be open.

Beef O Bradys
BBVA Compass (x2)
Little Caesars
Heart of Dallas
Military (x2)
Independence

That means we have one extra team past the 70 slots. LA Tech likely gets the Independence slot. MAC teams get Beef, BBVA, and one Military slot. That leaves BBVA, Little Caesars, Heart of Dallas, Military for 4 Sun Belt teams, and likely San Jose St (Utah St takes WAC's only bowl bid in Boise). Sun Belt snags BBVA, Little Caesars, and Military. From there, you've got one more Belt team and San Jose State battling for Heart of Dallas I think San Jose State is the team left out after Sun Belt convinces them of Cajuns' ticket sales and we all go home happy.This is just a conservative estimate. It's very possible other slots could be open and deals could be made.

Edit: I missed Boise State's loss last night. Doesn't change much except Pac 12 will likely get the extra BCS slot, leaving them full or maybe short the New Mexico bowl.

Last edited 11/4/2012 10:31 AM by MTowho

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Posted: 11/4/2012 9:44 AM

RE: The Bowl Situation 


To recap, EVERYTHING went our way yesterday. The only thing you could say didn't is maybe the Arkansas State & North Texas game. After yesterday there is a very real possibility we are short teams for bowls now. It was looking like that wouldn't happen.

Last edited 11/4/2012 9:45 AM by MTowho

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Posted: 11/4/2012 10:16 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Good breakdown.
I think this year there will be some very good opprotunities for Sun Belt teams to " upgrade" opponents and destinations.
Both the Belt and the MAC have had very good years and will get some post season reward out of it.
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Posted: 11/4/2012 7:16 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Unfortunately it's going to be a gauntlet of Sun Belt vs MAC games. Right now all 5 Sun Belt bowl bids will go against MAC teams. We really need a tie in against a #4/5 Big East team or a #6/7 ACC team.


It hurts, but we're big Vandy fans the rest of the year. They'll almost certainly beat Wake Forest to end the season, which will get them eligible. We need them to beat Ole Miss and Tennessee.

Last edited 11/4/2012 7:22 PM by MTowho

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Posted: 11/4/2012 10:27 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


2012-2013 CFN Bowl Projections - Week 10

Little Caesars Pizza

Detroit, MI Ford Field
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2
Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Kent State

If this plays out, how many of you will be going to Detroit?


Love is Blue

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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:21 AM

RE: The Bowl Situation 


I doubt this happens, but I can't imagine very many would make it. I would think based our history we will get into one of the better choices that SBC teams will have. Godaddy or Military would be my guess. Would love to go to both of those.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 6:57 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 



MBARaider wrote: 2012-2013 CFN Bowl Projections - Week 10

Little Caesars Pizza

Detroit, MI Ford Field
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2
Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Kent State

If this plays out, how many of you will be going to Detroit?
CFN is the same entity that picked Southern Miss to make a bowl after they started the season 0-6. They're just throwing darts and hoping something sticks.


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Posted: 11/5/2012 7:30 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


The ideal situation would be to go to the GoDaddy.Com Bowl in Mobile, both BB teams play a doubleheader against USA on Jan 5 and the bowl game is played on Jan 6.
 
I am sure the bowl committe will take this in to consideration, MT could own Mobile for a few days in January.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 7:55 AM

RE: The Bowl Situation 


That would be awesome!!! I would definitely make that trip!!! USA's arena is a good size and just about enclosed. The blue raider faithful would make a huge impression being there!!!

[Insert something here]

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Posted: 11/5/2012 8:03 AM

RE: The Bowl Situation 


That would be amazing. I'm pretty sure we could easily have more fans there than USA, if it worked out that we get the GoDaddy bid... Go Blue!

GO BLUE RAIDERS!
2011-2012 SBC Champions
2012 NIT Elite Eight
2011-2012 Coach & Player of the Year 

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Posted: 11/5/2012 8:49 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 



MBARaider wrote: 2012-2013 CFN Bowl Projections - Week 10

Little Caesars Pizza

Detroit, MI Ford Field
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2
Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Kent State

If this plays out, how many of you will be going to Detroit?
I am probably one of the few that would actually enjoy a trip to Detroit.  I grew up around there and it would be a great excuse to go back for a visit.  I already know where I would stay, where I would eat and most importantly...the areas to AVOID  :)

I'm not going to worry too much about bowls right now though...there is alot more to worry about that where we might go, might not go...or if we will go bowling at all.  It all starts with South Alabama on 11/17.  Let's Go Blue!
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Posted: 11/5/2012 9:03 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 



DaRaidersDave wrote:
MBARaider wrote: 2012-2013 CFN Bowl Projections - Week 10

Little Caesars Pizza

Detroit, MI Ford Field
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2
Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Kent State

If this plays out, how many of you will be going to Detroit?
I am probably one of the few that would actually enjoy a trip to Detroit.  I grew up around there and it would be a great excuse to go back for a visit.  I already know where I would stay, where I would eat and most importantly...the areas to AVOID  :)

I'm not going to worry too much about bowls right now though...there is alot more to worry about that where we might go, might not go...or if we will go bowling at all.  It all starts with South Alabama on 11/17.  Let's Go Blue!
I enjoyed Detroit but it is tough having to fly out Christmas Night.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 9:33 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Rhinos, baby ! Call the fire marshal, there are too many Blue Raider fans !!



mtsig wrote:
DaRaidersDave wrote:
MBARaider wrote: 2012-2013 CFN Bowl Projections - Week 10

Little Caesars Pizza

Detroit, MI Ford Field
Dec. 26, 7:30 pm, ESPN
Big Ten No. 8 vs. MAC No. 2
Projection: Middle Tennessee* vs. Kent State

If this plays out, how many of you will be going to Detroit?
I am probably one of the few that would actually enjoy a trip to Detroit.  I grew up around there and it would be a great excuse to go back for a visit.  I already know where I would stay, where I would eat and most importantly...the areas to AVOID  :)

I'm not going to worry too much about bowls right now though...there is alot more to worry about that where we might go, might not go...or if we will go bowling at all.  It all starts with South Alabama on 11/17.  Let's Go Blue!
I enjoyed Detroit but it is tough having to fly out Christmas Night.


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Last edited 11/5/2012 9:34 AM by BlueHillbilly

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Posted: 11/5/2012 11:03 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


I believe that place has closed.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 11:04 AM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Wonder how many fans we had in there that night ?


mtsig wrote: I believe that place has closed.


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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:19 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


All of them.
BlueHillbilly wrote: Wonder how many fans we had in there that night ?


mtsig wrote: I believe that place has closed.
Go Blue Raiders!
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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:24 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Man it seemed like a thousand.  The place was packed top to bottom and side to side.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:26 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Thanks to U.

Hoping you can do that for us again, wherever we go. You seem to know someone, everywhere. Is that an oxymoron ?


mtsig wrote: Man it seemed like a thousand.  The place was packed top to bottom and side to side.


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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:26 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


Let's say we win out and ASU beats ULM. I would assume we would want to go to NO?  However would more fans be able to attend in Mobile in Jan. after the holidays?  This would also allow for more practice time.  Especially if we have hoops games on the 5th.
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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:30 PM

Re: The Bowl Situation 


I would want to go ton N.O. or Birmingham. But that's just me.


mtsig wrote: Let's say we win out and ASU beats ULM. I would assume we would want to go to NO?  However would more fans be able to attend in Mobile in Jan. after the holidays?  This would also allow for more practice time.  Especially if we have hoops games on the 5th.


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