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Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team

Posted: 5/14/2013 4:05 PM

Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


 

Jackson is slashing .369/.449/.485/.934

He has an unsustainable BABIP (.462)

But his LD% has increased to 23.5% (up from 13.0% last year)

His walk rate has increased from an 8.3% career rate to 12.3% this year.

He's now expanded his positional flexibility (at the MiLB level for once) to include 2B (~15 games) and 3B (~15 games) as well as playing a superb SS.

Kozma? Not so good.  .222/.293/.222/.515 slash line for May. 

Descalso?  He's hitting much better in May (.313 BA, .984 OPS)

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Posted: 5/14/2013 4:07 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



PadsFS wrote:

 

Jackson is slashing .369/.449/.485/.934

He has an unsustainable BABIP (.462)

But his LD% has increased to 23.5% (up from 13.0% last year)

His walk rate has increased from an 8.3% career rate to 12.3% this year.

He's now expanded his positional flexibility (at the MiLB level for once) to include 2B (~15 games) and 3B (~15 games) as well as playing a superb SS.

Kozma? Not so good.  .222/.293/.222/.515 slash line for May. 

Descalso?  He's hitting much better in May (.313 BA, .984 OPS)

Apparently Mr. Jackson didn't win friends or influence people in his stints with the big club, so I wouldn't hold my breath.

Last edited 5/14/2013 4:08 PM by crdswmn

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Posted: 5/14/2013 4:11 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


He's playing well. I think he should be on the MLB team at the expense of Wigginton though, rather than Kozma or Descalso.

Despite Ty "Cobb" Wigginton's great dash to the plate last night, he's expendable and there is no reason for us to keep him when we have other guys available with more flexibility.

How is Jackson's defense compared to Pete's? Pete has looked good for the most part, at least in games I have seen him.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 4:40 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


Regress Jackson's insanely high BABIP to .300 and you're pretty much looking at the same Ryan Jackson of old (around a .280 average and .345 OBP). His power is about the same as well .120 ISO. Despite the high BABIP his production in Memphis can not be overlooked and like you said he's expanded defensive versatility playing all over the middle infield. If Descalso remains struggling offensively and defensively you could bet on seeing Jackson in the majors taking over as the super-sub.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 4:49 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



bicyclemike wrote: How is Jackson's defense compared to Pete's? Pete has looked good for the most part, at least in games I have seen him.
Jackson in my opinion is a much better defender than Kozma. Jackson has slightly better arm than Kozma, better instincts, hands, and actions by far. I'll give Kozma the edge when it comes to range. When you break down all the defensive abilities, and skills Jackson is better but Kozma this season has been steady at shortstop.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 4:50 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



DTFlush234 wrote: Regress Jackson's insanely high BABIP to .300 and you're pretty much looking at the same Ryan Jackson of old (around a .280 average and .345 OBP). His power is about the same as well .120 ISO. Despite the high BABIP his production in Memphis can not be overlooked and like you said he's expanded defensive versatility playing all over the middle infield. If Descalso remains struggling offensively and defensively you could bet on seeing Jackson in the majors taking over as the super-sub.

That doesn't address his LD% increase which is substantial.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 5:16 PM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


I doubt Jackson would stay hot without regular playing time, which he wouldn't get. If they did want to bring him up, we could go with one less in the pen. Those guys are not getting enough work to stay sharp.

He is walking more and hitting more line drives, so he must be doing something different. Better discipline for one. That would be hard to maintain as a pinch hitter.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 7:27 PM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 




---------------------------------------------
--- blingboy wrote:

I doubt Jackson would stay hot without regular playing time, which he wouldn't get. If they did want to bring him up, we could go with one less in the pen. Those guys are not getting enough work to stay sharp.

He is walking more and hitting more line drives, so he must be doing something different. Better discipline for one. That would be hard to maintain as a pinch hitter.

---------------------------------------------

True - yet people get upset when Wigginton doesn't get a hit.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 7:43 PM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


I'd guess Jackson gets a call when there's an injury to the infield.  The point about maintaining the hitting when not playing every day is a good one.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 8:06 PM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


Bernie wonders how long the Cards would stay with a fading Kozma if Jackson stays hot. If Kozma regresses I guess he means.

IMO, as long as we are winning we stay with Kozma. Cards seem to be happy with his reliable D. Should be plenty of O elsewhere in the lineup. And who is to say he won't heat up.
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Posted: 5/14/2013 9:27 PM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


Jackson 3 for 5, now hitting .372
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Posted: 5/15/2013 8:18 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



blingboy wrote: Bernie wonders how long the Cards would stay with a fading Kozma if Jackson stays hot. If Kozma regresses I guess he means.

IMO, as long as we are winning we stay with Kozma. Cards seem to be happy with his reliable D. Should be plenty of O elsewhere in the lineup. And who is to say he won't heat up.

If Kozma is hurting the team (which he has been lately) and can be replaced with a guy who, by all accounts, is better both offensively and defensively, it seems stupid to stick with Kozma because "we are winning".

We would be winning more with a better player. If Mozeliak traded for Tulo tomorrow with all minor leaguers, would you keep Kozma as the starter then? Well, how much better does the challenging SS have to be for the switch to happen? Somewhere higher than Jackson's level, but lower than Tulo's level?
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  • MAP315
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Posted: 5/15/2013 8:31 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



PadsFS wrote:
blingboy wrote: Bernie wonders how long the Cards would stay with a fading Kozma if Jackson stays hot. If Kozma regresses I guess he means.

IMO, as long as we are winning we stay with Kozma. Cards seem to be happy with his reliable D. Should be plenty of O elsewhere in the lineup. And who is to say he won't heat up.

If Kozma is hurting the team (which he has been lately) and can be replaced with a guy who, by all accounts, is better both offensively and defensively, it seems stupid to stick with Kozma because "we are winning".

We would be winning more with a better player. If Mozeliak traded for Tulo tomorrow with all minor leaguers, would you keep Kozma as the starter then? Well, how much better does the challenging SS have to be for the switch to happen? Somewhere higher than Jackson's level, but lower than Tulo's level?
Tulo has a big contract. I don't see him coming to this team.
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Posted: 5/15/2013 9:32 AM

Re: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


If Walt were still here, Tulo would be a very real possibility, just as McGwire, Eckersley, Rolen, Edmonds, et al were.

Mo doesn't operate like that, though, and given the change in the baseball climate I'd be hard pressed to say he's wrong to do so.
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Posted: 5/15/2013 9:37 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



PadsFS wrote:
blingboy wrote: Bernie wonders how long the Cards would stay with a fading Kozma if Jackson stays hot. If Kozma regresses I guess he means.

IMO, as long as we are winning we stay with Kozma. Cards seem to be happy with his reliable D. Should be plenty of O elsewhere in the lineup. And who is to say he won't heat up.

If Kozma is hurting the team (which he has been lately) and can be replaced with a guy who, by all accounts, is better both offensively and defensively, it seems stupid to stick with Kozma because "we are winning".

We would be winning more with a better player. If Mozeliak traded for Tulo tomorrow with all minor leaguers, would you keep Kozma as the starter then? Well, how much better does the challenging SS have to be for the switch to happen? Somewhere higher than Jackson's level, but lower than Tulo's level?
"We would be winning more with a better player"

Not necessarily.   Sometimes the right mix of players is more important than the quantity of talent.  

I am not proposing we stick with Kozma if he continues to slide.  But just being greedy isn't always the best option.
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Posted: 5/15/2013 10:16 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 


You are comparing apples and oranges.  Kozma is facing the best pitchers on the planet on an everyday basis and they have watched his every at bat to find every weakness he has.  Jackson is facing AAA pitching who rarley do game planning.  If you want apples to apples.  Jackson is 2 for 20 at the major league level.  Let him prove himself this year.  Kozma is getting the job done, let's not replace him with a guy who, IMO doesn't have a higher ceiling, and has not proven he can get the job done.

“Make sure you have a different opinion and people will talk about you”

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Posted: 5/15/2013 10:31 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



tillerjustin wrote: You are comparing apples and oranges.  Kozma is facing the best pitchers on the planet on an everyday basis and they have watched his every at bat to find every weakness he has.  Jackson is facing AAA pitching who rarley do game planning.  If you want apples to apples.  Jackson is 2 for 20 at the major league level.  Let him prove himself this year.  Kozma is getting the job done, let's not replace him with a guy who, IMO doesn't have a higher ceiling, and has not proven he can get the job done.

Kozma is not getting the job done. Unless getting the job done means being a below replacement level SS.

How about you compare their much larger AAA sample?

Kozma - 846 ABs, .223 BA, .286 OBP, .324 SLG, 5 HRs, 9 SBs, 31 errors (243 games)

Jackson - 558 ABs, .292 BA, .357 OBP, .414 SLG, 11 HRs, 4 SBs, 14 errors (148 games)

(Yes, I know errors don't mean much...but I've read that Kozma and Jackson have similar range, yet Kozma muffs the routine plays from time to time...like during 2012 playoffs)

Furthering your point a bit, I am advocating for Jackson to prove himself. That's the point. BTW, of Jackson's 20 AB's, 11 of them came as a pinch hitter / sub.

Last edited 5/15/2013 10:33 AM by PadsFS

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Posted: 5/15/2013 10:35 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



MAP315 wrote:

Tulo has a big contract. I don't see him coming to this team.

I only used Tulo as an example. Kozma would never play again if Mozeliak went out and acquired Tulo. My point being, what is the point at which Kozma is replaceable when the alternative is obviously better?
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Posted: 5/15/2013 10:42 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



crdswmn wrote:

"We would be winning more with a better player"

Not necessarily.   Sometimes the right mix of players is more important than the quantity of talent.  

I am not proposing we stick with Kozma if he continues to slide.  But just being greedy isn't always the best option.

So are you saying that regardless of what Jackson is doing in AAA, Kozma has to perform worse.

Right now, he is the 18th best SS in baseball, worth more (due to being above-average defensively) than S. Castro, A. Cabrera, Y. Escobar, Z. Cozart, m. Izturis, & B. Ryan.

I am fine with keeping Kozma as the starter for now, but why not bring up the hot hand in Jackson and let him alternate at SS for a couple weeks?

Caveat: UZR numbers are highly suspect at this stage (Carpenter - 5.0 UZR, Brendan Ryan - 0.3 UZR)
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Posted: 5/15/2013 11:01 AM

RE: Ryan Jackson should be on the MLB team 



PadsFS wrote:
MAP315 wrote:

Tulo has a big contract. I don't see him coming to this team.

I only used Tulo as an example. Kozma would never play again if Mozeliak went out and acquired Tulo. My point being, what is the point at which Kozma is replaceable when the alternative is obviously better?

If I believed Jackson was obviosly better I would say replace him, as would most on this board.  In a couple months I might make that call but not yet.  Our team has the best record in the majors and we have a SS who has batted .272 at the major league level.  I will wait this one out.

“Make sure you have a different opinion and people will talk about you”

Last edited 5/15/2013 11:05 AM by tillerjustin

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