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TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras

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Posted: 1/11/2013 7:03 AM

TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


The main question with the new top prospect in the system is the timing of his arrival in St. Louis.

Today’s report is FREE!

 

Link to top 40 countdown page

Brian Walton
The Cardinal Nation and The Cardinal Nation blog
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Posted: 1/12/2013 12:44 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Taveras has one of the finest hit tools in the minors. Has the upside to be an elite player in the majors and is already being compared to Vlad Guerrero.
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Posted: 1/12/2013 1:09 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


I wonder about the pressure on Oscar... Many will be greatly disappointed if Oscar doesnt come up and be a superstar from day one..  I find it a bit unrealistic and unfair to the young man..
JR
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Posted: 1/12/2013 11:00 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Wow, great articles on the prospects. Thank you guys for all the freebies. I will probably read them all again between now and opening day. These prospect threads have helped me immensley with Cards minor leaguers. One thing that made me think was CC says "In fact, as I saw commented on our message board this week, is there any way the youngster can not fail to live up to expectations?" Then at the end Brian says "It is worth noting that he represents the most celebrated hitter to come up through the system since Colby Rasmus". It made me wonder why so few people brought up the "incredibly high bar" scenario when Colby was slumping? Is it that some St.Louis fans were unable to like this kid from the very start or is it that Tavares is considered a much better prospect? I am curious to see if this kid sticks in centerfield where i believe he is  most valuable to the team or does he  become a corner outfielder. I am also curious to see how his unorthadox swing translates to the MLB level and whether or not he develops as a base stealer. At any rate with a very low K total last year Oscar should be very fun to watch. This is the one youngster Cards should hold on to regardless of trade scenarios. I think you can give up 1 or 2 young arms b/c there is a lot of depth at that spot but no way they trade this kid. Could be looking at a Curt Flood with a lot more power. excitedexcitedexcited

GO CARDS!
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Posted: 1/12/2013 11:41 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



Teufelshunde4 wrote: I wonder about the pressure on Oscar... Many will be greatly disappointed if Oscar doesnt come up and be a superstar from day one..  I find it a bit unrealistic and unfair to the young man..
There's no question surrounding Taveras's potential to become a superstar/elite type player but it will take some time to fully adjust to big league pitching won't become a superstar on day one. From watching him play I find it fair to give him all this hype he's got an extraordinary skill-set.
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Posted: 1/12/2013 11:45 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



cardinalnationhouston wrote: Wow, great articles on the prospects. Thank you guys for all the freebies. I will probably read them all again between now and opening day. These prospect threads have helped me immensley with Cards minor leaguers. One thing that made me think was CC says "In fact, as I saw commented on our message board this week, is there any way the youngster can not fail to live up to expectations?" Then at the end Brian says "It is worth noting that he represents the most celebrated hitter to come up through the system since Colby Rasmus". It made me wonder why so few people brought up the "incredibly high bar" scenario when Colby was slumping? Is it that some St.Louis fans were unable to like this kid from the very start or is it that Tavares is considered a much better prospect? I am curious to see if this kid sticks in centerfield where i believe he is  most valuable to the team or does he  become a corner outfielder. I am also curious to see how his unorthadox swing translates to the MLB level and whether or not he develops as a base stealer. At any rate with a very low K total last year Oscar should be very fun to watch. This is the one youngster Cards should hold on to regardless of trade scenarios. I think you can give up 1 or 2 young arms b/c there is a lot of depth at that spot but no way they trade this kid. Could be looking at a Curt Flood with a lot more power. excitedexcitedexcited
You are welcome.

I definitely brought up Rasmus as a reminder that even "can't miss" prospects sometimes do.

Traditionally, the Cardinals have not been willing to sacrifice defense for offense in center. Unless they change that stance with Taveras, my money is on him becoming the new starting right fielder in 2014.
Brian Walton
The Cardinal Nation and The Cardinal Nation blog
Follow both Brian and TCN on Twitter

Last edited 1/12/2013 11:49 AM by Domeboys

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Posted: 1/12/2013 11:52 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Thanks!  I'd be surprised if he became a new Flood, given how amazing a glove man Flood was.  I'd think if he's in CF Taveras would be more a "good enough" D guy, instead of a superlative D player.  But he's young, so who knows?
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Posted: 1/13/2013 10:46 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Rasmus didn't exactly flop.  He is still producing in the majors and could potentially "break out" still.  He's only going to be 26 next season.

He may not be Adam Jones, but he may break out late like Chili Davis did.

It will have to be this year if he's going to do it in Toronto.
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Posted: 1/13/2013 11:59 AM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Just checking...

Chili Davis, in 6+ years with the Giants thru the age of 27, gave the Giants a line of .267/.340/.422 with an OPS+ of 113. 

Rasmus, in 4 full seasons through the age of 25, is at .243/.313/.422 with an OPS+ of 98.  Moreover, since the trade, he's given Toronto a line of .213/.273/.384 with an OPS+ of 76.

I suppose Colby's still a better defensive player than Chili ever was... but anyone who thinks Colby hasn't stunk up the joint as a major leaguer (except for the one decent season) is mistaken.

Colby may have been a five-tool player but he's missing the sixth tool... a head.
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Posted: 1/13/2013 12:48 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Brian I'm sure you will see Mike Shildt sometime during spring training. It would be interesting to hear his take on the possibility of Oscar as a potential major league center fielder.

I saw about 30-40% of Springfield's games on the net last year and Shildt was using him in center field almost exclusively late in the season. To my untrained eye he really improved his defense as the season went on.

Also I think he has more speed than most observers give him credit for and maybe more speed than Jay. He was beating out base infield rollers for base hits and taking the extra base more as the season went on.
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Posted: 1/13/2013 1:43 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



Jmodene1 wrote: Just checking...

Chili Davis, in 6+ years with the Giants thru the age of 27, gave the Giants a line of .267/.340/.422 with an OPS+ of 113. 

Rasmus, in 4 full seasons through the age of 25, is at .243/.313/.422 with an OPS+ of 98.  Moreover, since the trade, he's given Toronto a line of .213/.273/.384 with an OPS+ of 76.

I suppose Colby's still a better defensive player than Chili ever was... but anyone who thinks Colby hasn't stunk up the joint as a major leaguer (except for the one decent season) is mistaken.

Colby may have been a five-tool player but he's missing the sixth tool... a head.
So you included Chili Davis' age 26 and 27 seasons (OPS+ of 124 and 111) ??
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Posted: 1/13/2013 1:50 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



Jmodene1 wrote: Just checking...

Chili Davis, in 6+ years with the Giants thru the age of 27, gave the Giants a line of .267/.340/.422 with an OPS+ of 113. 

Rasmus, in 4 full seasons through the age of 25, is at .243/.313/.422 with an OPS+ of 98.  Moreover, since the trade, he's given Toronto a line of .213/.273/.384 with an OPS+ of 76.

I suppose Colby's still a better defensive player than Chili ever was... but anyone who thinks Colby hasn't stunk up the joint as a major leaguer (except for the one decent season) is mistaken.

Colby may have been a five-tool player but he's missing the sixth tool... a head.

 

Regardless of what you think about my Davis/Colby comparison, I don't think you can justly call Colby a bust yet.

Compare him with Alex Gordon then if you don't like Davis.

Gordon's OPS+ in his first four years: 90, 109, 87, 84 (avg 92.5) and then he broke out with a 140 last year and a 125 this year at 28 years old.


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Posted: 1/14/2013 12:22 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Certainly a guy with Colby's talent can suddenly realize that someone other than his father knows something about baseball and can teach him something. Life is full of examples where people suddenly turn their life around.

The big clue with him in 20/20 hindsight was his cratering at AAA following being sent out after the hot spring training.
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Posted: 1/14/2013 7:41 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



SoonerinNC wrote: Brian I'm sure you will see Mike Shildt sometime during spring training. It would be interesting to hear his take on the possibility of Oscar as a potential major league center fielder.

I saw about 30-40% of Springfield's games on the net last year and Shildt was using him in center field almost exclusively late in the season. To my untrained eye he really improved his defense as the season went on.

Also I think he has more speed than most observers give him credit for and maybe more speed than Jay. He was beating out base infield rollers for base hits and taking the extra base more as the season went on.
It will be interesting to see how much CF Taveras plays in Memphis.
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Posted: 1/14/2013 8:02 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



blingboy wrote:
SoonerinNC wrote: Brian I'm sure you will see Mike Shildt sometime during spring training. It would be interesting to hear his take on the possibility of Oscar as a potential major league center fielder.

I saw about 30-40% of Springfield's games on the net last year and Shildt was using him in center field almost exclusively late in the season. To my untrained eye he really improved his defense as the season went on.

Also I think he has more speed than most observers give him credit for and maybe more speed than Jay. He was beating out base infield rollers for base hits and taking the extra base more as the season went on.
It will be interesting to see how much CF Taveras plays in Memphis.
Given Chambers will be playing all around the outfield and CF is his primary position will be interesting to see how much time Taveras gets in CF.
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Posted: 1/14/2013 8:54 PM

RE: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Re the talk about Rasmus above. He just signed for 2013 for $4.675M avoiding arb. So that puts him around $9M for his career so far. He's what, mid twenties. I could stand flopping like that. My dad could say whatever he wants. Sign me up.
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Posted: 1/14/2013 9:29 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



DTFlush234 wrote:
blingboy wrote:
SoonerinNC wrote: Brian I'm sure you will see Mike Shildt sometime during spring training. It would be interesting to hear his take on the possibility of Oscar as a potential major league center fielder.

I saw about 30-40% of Springfield's games on the net last year and Shildt was using him in center field almost exclusively late in the season. To my untrained eye he really improved his defense as the season went on.

Also I think he has more speed than most observers give him credit for and maybe more speed than Jay. He was beating out base infield rollers for base hits and taking the extra base more as the season went on.
It will be interesting to see how much CF Taveras plays in Memphis.
Given Chambers will be playing all around the outfield and CF is his primary position will be interesting to see how much time Taveras gets in CF.
Pham may be on that club as well and he is a better CF than either of them.
Brian Walton
The Cardinal Nation and The Cardinal Nation blog
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Posted: 1/14/2013 10:51 PM

Re: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


Interesting.  I was wondering who the other OF would be. And if Pham was going to be back.  Healthy, he's still an interesting prospect.
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Posted: 1/15/2013 12:13 AM

RE: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 



blingboy wrote: Re the talk about Rasmus above. He just signed for 2013 for $4.675M avoiding arb. So that puts him around $9M for his career so far. He's what, mid twenties. I could stand flopping like that. My dad could say whatever he wants. Sign me up.

This just confirms Bill Veeck's old line about how it wasn't the high price of stardom that bothered him, but the high price of mediocrity.
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Posted: 1/15/2013 7:12 AM

RE: TCN 2013 Cardinals Prospect #1: Oscar Taveras 


An observation from Keith Costas, Bob's son:

"Colby will make $4.7M in 2012. His OPS+ of 76 since joining TOR ranks 97th of 102 AL batters...or just between Juan Pierre and Brendan Ryan."
Brian Walton
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