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What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next year?
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Posted: 10/23/2012 7:57 PM
What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next year?
As much as I hate to say it, I think Carp is trade bait. Getting up there in years, and will have a lot to prove in spring training.
Garcia??? You tell me what you think, I hope he returns to form.
Waino, I think he may be the anchor next year, or do we go get an anchor.
Lynn, should be a solid starter.
Will Rosenthal become a star in the bigs with his six figure fast ball?
Joe Kelly???
Shelby Miller???
Who's available on the free agent market that is within reach?
You guys need to help me out of this tree, I'm afraid of Heights!!! LOL
Please give me your thoughts on this, I am very interested in what you guys and gals have to say.
No negative waves man!
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Posted: 10/23/2012 9:09 PM
RE: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next yea
Carp won't be traded, that's not the Cardinal way.
There are four guys who will be getting paid starters money next year so they are going to be starters unless they are on the DL. Carp, Waino, Garcia, Westbrook.
One would think an 18 game winner and all star would have to be the fifth starter going into spring training. If Lynn sucks it would be either Rosenthal, Kelly or Miller when they break camp. I would guess Miller. He also might spectacularly out pitch Lynn and get the fifth spot.
I don't think there will be much intrigue regarding the rotation in 2013. Of course, a rash of injuries would open up spots for the young guys.
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Posted: 10/23/2012 9:46 PM
RE: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next yea
Yes, but the pen should be interesting. If Rosenthal should stick as a bullpen guy how would a 7th, 8th, and 9th look with the soft tosser being at 96 mph and the top guy at 101?
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Posted: 10/23/2012 11:04 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
St.Louis could possibly look at a veteran FA starter as depth or if they feel like Carp or Garcia are compromised. My guess is it would be for a #5 starter pay wise due to the young and cheap alternatives like Rosie, Kelly and Miller. Millwood, Francis, Wolf and Pugs favorite pitcher Rich Harden all fit the bill. I also notice that Jeremy Affeldt, Randy Choate and Darren Oliver are FA lefty relievers. Oliver has a player option though. I wonder if projections for Reifer or Sanchez will allow Moz to trade Boggs, Salas or Mujica for help.The whole list is available at Cotts.
GO CARDS!
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Posted: 10/24/2012 8:18 AM
RE: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next yea
DwaininAztec wrote: Yes, but the pen should be interesting. If Rosenthal should stick as a bullpen guy how would a 7th, 8th, and 9th look with the soft tosser being at 96 mph and the top guy at 101? Rosenthal should only start the year in the bullpen if they are doing the Kris Medlen plan. He threw just 58 inning in 2009 between college and the GCL after being drafted, then had 34 innings in Johnson City in 2010, before ramping up to 135 in Quad Cities last year, and finally had 140 innings this year across three levels. 58 >> 34 >> 135 >> 140 Let him relieve to start the year, then shift to starting mid-way through the year so he'll end up with 150-160 innings total.
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Posted: 10/24/2012 6:12 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Please excuse my ignorance. How many pitches does Rosenthal have? It looked to me that he has the the demeanor to become a starter. The post that suggest he start in the pen and work into the starting rotation is spot on IMO. Is anybody else wondering if Carpenter will get it back. I know he rushed back to pitch to try and help the team. I really appreciate the fact the he is a big enough stud to do that, but I just have the feeling that we will never get back the Carp that we all know and love.
I wish Carp nothing but the best, and will add that he is my favorite pitcher. Just being honest about my fears.
No negative waves man!
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Posted: 10/24/2012 7:04 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Hurdleheel wrote:Please excuse my ignorance. How many pitches does Rosenthal have? It looked to me that he has the the demeanor to become a starter. The post that suggest he start in the pen and work into the starting rotation is spot on IMO. Is anybody else wondering if Carpenter will get it back. I know he rushed back to pitch to try and help the team. I really appreciate the fact the he is a big enough stud to do that, but I just have the feeling that we will never get back the Carp that we all know and love.
I wish Carp nothing but the best, and will add that he is my favorite pitcher. Just being honest about my fears. According to PitchFX, he threw 80% fastballs and most of the rest were curveballs. I noticed from the monthly stats he threw somewhat more curveballs later in the season that when he first came up. http://www.baseballprospectus....p?player=572096
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Posted: 10/24/2012 8:08 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Thanks bling! I appreciate your input and knowledge!
No negative waves man!
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Posted: 10/24/2012 11:31 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
I suspect if any of the 2012 starters is traded it might be Lance Lynn - despite his second-half fade, his trade value is probably reasonably high, perhaps as high as it will ever be, especially since he won't be arb-eligible until after the 2014 season (he'll only be at 2.119 years at the end of 2013, about 20 games shy of Super Two status).
And it's not like we don't have other guys as good (or maybe even better) and as cheap.
Lynn for Elvis Andrus, anybody?
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Posted: 10/25/2012 10:57 AM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Jmodene1 wrote: I suspect if any of the 2012 starters is traded it might be Lance Lynn - despite his second-half fade, his trade value is probably reasonably high, perhaps as high as it will ever be, especially since he won't be arb-eligible until after the 2014 season (he'll only be at 2.119 years at the end of 2013, about 20 games shy of Super Two status).
And it's not like we don't have other guys as good (or maybe even better) and as cheap.
Lynn for Elvis Andrus, anybody? will cost alot more than that to get andrus...assuming texas will even trade him. they are considering moving kinsler to OF. anyway, my expectations of the pitching staff for 2013: -locked into rotation: carpenter, wainwright, westbrook -i think garcia won't be ready due to surgery -stiff competition to replace garcia between miller, rosenthal, and kelly. if kelly don't win the spot, he'll probably be in bullpen. if either/both miller and/or rosenthal don't win it, they'll go back to AAA -lynn probably at #4, but if he can't distinguish himself enough from the guys competing for garcia's spot, could be in bullpen or trade bait. though if that happened, odds are he'd not be traded until either after garcia came back healthy (who could be trade bait himself depending on how he comes back and how lynn, miller, rosenthal, and kelly are doing) due to need more time to figure out stability of rotation longer term
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Posted: 10/25/2012 11:19 AM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Jmodene1 wrote: I suspect if any of the 2012 starters is traded it might be Lance Lynn - despite his second-half fade, his trade value is probably reasonably high, perhaps as high as it will ever be, especially since he won't be arb-eligible until after the 2014 season (he'll only be at 2.119 years at the end of 2013, about 20 games shy of Super Two status).
And it's not like we don't have other guys as good (or maybe even better) and as cheap.
Lynn for Elvis Andrus, anybody? Living in Houston i can give you Ranger fans take on that trade Jmo. They would say not a chance. Andrus is valued by Ranger fan more than any other not named Hamilton. I see Elvis as the perfect fit for our Cardinals. This is a hard nosed old school type player who happens to have a high BB IQ as well as leadership qualities. Oh yeah, he also hits at the top of the order which i believe is this line ups Achilles heel. My guess is that it will take Miller + Ramsey or something like that. I think Texas is a likely trade partner this year b/c they have the player we need most and we have what they covet which is young pitching. I am rue to trade any young arms however i would do it for Elvis. We could resign Berkman and be the first team in history to have two Elvis's or is it Elvi when more than one? Where is Dizzy when you need him?
GO CARDS!
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Posted: 10/25/2012 11:50 AM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
I would welcome a Lynn for Andrus trade. But I do have some concerns about our rotation next year. I'm a natural skeptic, so I can't take my eyes off a worst case scenario that doesn't seem far fetched:
It is entirely possible that Lohse and Carpenter will be missing from the rotation next year. Then consider the fact that Garcia and Westbrook are coming off injuries and might not return to a serviceable level. Assuming all this as worst case scenario, you're missing Lohse, Carp, Garcia, an Westbrook from your rotation. In that case, you need Lance Lynn. And Joe Kelly. And Shelby Miller.
If that worst case scenario comes to fruition, we might need Lance Lynn more than we need a stellar shortstop.
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Posted: 10/25/2012 1:12 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
DMENS wrote: I would welcome a Lynn for Andrus trade. But I do have some concerns about our rotation next year. I'm a natural skeptic, so I can't take my eyes off a worst case scenario that doesn't seem far fetched:
It is entirely possible that Lohse and Carpenter will be missing from the rotation next year. Then consider the fact that Garcia and Westbrook are coming off injuries and might not return to a serviceable level. Assuming all this as worst case scenario, you're missing Lohse, Carp, Garcia, an Westbrook from your rotation. In that case, you need Lance Lynn. And Joe Kelly. And Shelby Miller.
If that worst case scenario comes to fruition, we might need Lance Lynn more than we need a stellar shortstop. I am not sure that Carp will NOT come back strong. He looked o.k to me but anything can happen between now and April. likewise i am not real worried about Westie, his strain is probably minor. Garcia however is a big worry. Surgery could push him back a couple of months. If all that happens we are toast anyways Dmens. I think the benefits of having Andrus all season outweighs the loss of Lynn even in your worst case scenario. The lineup would still be a beast and keep us in contention IMO. You never have enough pitching so this is possibly the only player that could be available that i would trade ANY pitching for.
GO CARDS!
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Posted: 10/25/2012 2:09 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
cardinalnationhouston wrote: I am not sure that Carp will NOT come back strong. He looked o.k to me but anything can happen between now and April. likewise i am not real worried about Westie, his strain is probably minor. Garcia however is a big worry. Surgery could push him back a couple of months. If all that happens we are toast anyways Dmens. I think the benefits of having Andrus all season outweighs the loss of Lynn even in your worst case scenario. The lineup would still be a beast and keep us in contention IMO. You never have enough pitching so this is possibly the only player that could be available that i would trade ANY pitching for. Carp and Garcia may come back okay. Westbrook probably will be his normal self. But in the case that at least two of those three can't be reliable contributors next year, Lance Lynn becomes much more important. Depending on what the club wants to do with Miller/Rosenthal/Kelly, you may need Lynn on the mound more than you need Andrus at short. It's a worst-case scenario, and unlikely to break down so completely, but you never know. I would love to have all the pitchers come back strong, trade Lynn, and use Andrus + Furcal/Descalso as the keystone.
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Posted: 10/25/2012 6:15 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
I hope I'm wrong about Carp, but I just have a bad feeling that he will not return to be as dominant as he was. Something just seemed off to me.
I'm probably just being a nervous nellie!
Garcia is toast IMO, hope I'm wrong again. Is it just me???
Westbrook and Waino will be OK IMO.
No negative waves man!
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Posted: 10/25/2012 6:39 PM
RE: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next yea
i think carp will be fine. first real chance to try and recover after surgery.
besides, the last 2 times he pitched in the final yr of a contract he was awesome. might not be awesome this time, but i'm pretty sure he'll be pretty good.
garcia on the other hand will have surgery. he already had 3 recommendations to do so, and the final one was wait two weeks after a little rest and rehab to see again if surgery will be needed then. of which, i think it will.
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Posted: 10/25/2012 10:27 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
The Ranger fans seem to like Elvis better than the Rangers' management does, if what I'm reading is correct - isn't there some other kid SS they want to play instead of him? cardinalnationhouston wrote:
Jmodene1 wrote: I suspect if any of the 2012 starters is traded it might be Lance Lynn - despite his second-half fade, his trade value is probably reasonably high, perhaps as high as it will ever be, especially since he won't be arb-eligible until after the 2014 season (he'll only be at 2.119 years at the end of 2013, about 20 games shy of Super Two status).
And it's not like we don't have other guys as good (or maybe even better) and as cheap.
Lynn for Elvis Andrus, anybody? Living in Houston i can give you Ranger fans take on that trade Jmo. They would say not a chance. Andrus is valued by Ranger fan more than any other not named Hamilton. I see Elvis as the perfect fit for our Cardinals. This is a hard nosed old school type player who happens to have a high BB IQ as well as leadership qualities. Oh yeah, he also hits at the top of the order which i believe is this line ups Achilles heel. My guess is that it will take Miller + Ramsey or something like that. I think Texas is a likely trade partner this year b/c they have the player we need most and we have what they covet which is young pitching. I am rue to trade any young arms however i would do it for Elvis. We could resign Berkman and be the first team in history to have two Elvis's or is it Elvi when more than one? Where is Dizzy when you need him?
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Posted: 10/25/2012 11:53 PM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Jmodene1 wrote: The Ranger fans seem to like Elvis better than the Rangers' management does, if what I'm reading is correct - isn't there some other kid SS they want to play instead of him?
cardinalnationhouston wrote: Jmodene1 wrote: I suspect if any of the 2012 starters is traded it might be Lance Lynn - despite his second-half fade, his trade value is probably reasonably high, perhaps as high as it will ever be, especially since he won't be arb-eligible until after the 2014 season (he'll only be at 2.119 years at the end of 2013, about 20 games shy of Super Two status).
And it's not like we don't have other guys as good (or maybe even better) and as cheap.
Lynn for Elvis Andrus, anybody? Living in Houston i can give you Ranger fans take on that trade Jmo. They would say not a chance. Andrus is valued by Ranger fan more than any other not named Hamilton. I see Elvis as the perfect fit for our Cardinals. This is a hard nosed old school type player who happens to have a high BB IQ as well as leadership qualities. Oh yeah, he also hits at the top of the order which i believe is this line ups Achilles heel. My guess is that it will take Miller + Ramsey or something like that. I think Texas is a likely trade partner this year b/c they have the player we need most and we have what they covet which is young pitching. I am rue to trade any young arms however i would do it for Elvis. We could resign Berkman and be the first team in history to have two Elvis's or is it Elvi when more than one? Where is Dizzy when you need him? Michael Young?  I agree that they do have a dilemma with Profar, Andrus and Kinsler in the middle. Nice problem to have huh? Seems like we would be a potential trade partner if they are looking for young pitching as has been rumored. It could come down to who blinks first as i am sure we will not be the only suitor for Elvis. It does not seem like we trade with Texas very often though. I can't think of any off hand but i am sure there have been a few.
GO CARDS!
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Posted: 10/26/2012 12:18 AM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Profar, that's who I was trying to remember.
Last trade I remember we made with Texas was Stottlemyre and Clayton for Tatis and Oliver back in 1998.
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Posted: 10/26/2012 10:19 AM
Re: What will the Cardinals Starting Pitching look like next
Ahhhhh, Fernando Tatis. Was listening on the radio on the way home from Umpiring a game when he hit 2 Grand Salamies in one inning.
No negative waves man!
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