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JON SICKEL'S MOCK DRAFT

Posted: 05/21/2007 9:44 AM

JON SICKEL'S MOCK DRAFT 



Nate,

I tried shooting you a PM, but you don't have it turned on.  Please verify the particulars of the Mock assignment @ minorleagueball.com (Jon Sickel's site).

1. Date
2. Time
3. Rounds

Once I know how deep of information you are looking for, I can put together a info packet for you.  Let me know.  I have insider access to BA and PG.

Posted: 05/21/2007 1:29 PM

Re: JON SICKEL'S MOCK DRAFT 


i sent you a PM DAS, let me know if you got it.

Posted: 05/21/2007 3:15 PM

BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


BA has their top 100 draft prospects updated, with scouting reports.

Since they have, I'm going to have to do another mock draft.

20. RHP Jarrod Parker- Every year a H.S. arm drops for one reason or another. Parker, an Indiana native, could drop because of his relative lack of competition and his slight of frame. The Dodgers have a high history of taking guys from this region, so I believe they'd snatch him up if he fell. Parker has what they say the best arm action of any pitcher in the draft. If Parker does not fall, LHP Jake McGeary would be the next best thing.

39. 2B Nick Noonan- The Dodgers draft Chase Utley in the second round of the 1997 draft, but failed to sign him. They have the chance to make up for it by selecting and signing the guy who projects to be Utley-like. Noonan is an above-average hitter, solid defender at second and is extremely baseball savy. SS Justin Jackson could be an option here as well.

85. OF Chad Jones- Jones is a multisport star, who plays baseball and football in high school. At 6'3", 220, he's got the body to hit for some serious power. He has above-average speed and an above-average arm that has produced 91 MPH fastballs off the mound. Jones wants to play baseball despite being ranked as the best safety recruit in the nation. It'll take a little money to get him signed, but I believe it'll be worth it. IF Jon Gilmore out of Iowa would be my backup plan.

Posted: 05/21/2007 3:35 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


Hey Nick are you any were near West Hills College ? If so can you give me any more information on my number 15 pick ?

Posted: 05/21/2007 3:49 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


West Hills college is in some city named Coallingo(sp.?) I'm not sure where that is, but its not the same West Hills that I live in. Sorry bud!

Posted: 05/21/2007 5:46 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


Ok, I see what you mean, but I just can't help it. Every time I look and see this kid I just see a Dodger. ! I love it, I can't wait till the draft.

http://www.westhillsfalcons.com/baseball/21MikeSouthern.asp

Posted: 05/21/2007 6:05 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


From PG

# 24 Prospect in California

Group 2 Prospect - Mid Round Draft ( 4 - 10 )

Mike Southern   RHP   So.   R-R   6-1   180   West Hills JC   Glasgow, MT.   Never drafted 

SCOUTING REPORT: The depth of the draft is enhanced every year with junior college players who were not considered prospects after high school but show significant progress after a year or two in college. Southern, a Montana native, was unknown to most clubs entering this season but made huge strides—even as he posted just a 3-5, 3.54 record with 58 strikeouts in 53 innings in primarily a relief role. He’s been tucked away at obscure West Hills College , located in California ’s Central Valley and a long way from the conventional scouting hotbeds in the state. But crosscheckers were in to see him in force this spring and what they saw was impressive. Even though he is an average-bodied righthander, his fastball touched 93 mph. He complemented his good heater with a hard, mid-80s slider that is a legitimate put-away pitch. Add to the equation that Southern has a sound demeanor on the mound and it is understandable what has drawn the attention. Southern is unlikely to sign with a four-year college, which could hurt his leverage, but that is not likely to push him much beyond the fifth round.

Posted: 05/21/2007 9:24 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


Hey thanks for the update, as you know I don't pay for web cites when I particapate in these yearly draft threads. So can you tell me what that page says about:

Jack Tilghamn-RHP-Walters State College
(Had a great freshman year but tailed off this year, but was said to have hit 97)

Kyle Gilligan-SS- Conner State College
(Supposed 5-tool prospect thats a Boston Red Sox DAF)

Adam Milligan

-OF-Walters State College
(Possibly a pore mans Jeff Francour)

Posted: 05/22/2007 1:38 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 



Washie,

What state(s) do they go to school in?  PG is going state by state, so I may not have any info on them yet.  So far I have ...

Puerto Rico
California
Texas
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Mississippi
Louisiana

Posted: 05/22/2007 2:19 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


Conner State is in Oklahoma, and Walters State is in TN. Thanks though for the update. Also one of my guys Tim Smith of ASU made the top 101-200 prospect list on BA. Could a part of that be posted as well Please please with suger on top ? LOL

PS: I just came across the Cal State Los Angeles baseball web page. They just won there devision and championship I believe. So since you get Cali info what can you get about LHP-Isaac Morales ?

Last edited 05/22/2007 4:32 PM by washie

Posted: 05/22/2007 5:38 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


 

Washie,

PG doesn't list LHP Isaac Morales (Cal State LA) amongst their Top CA prospects.  There are over 100 listed.

 

161. Tim Smith, of
School: Arizona State. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 220. Birthdate: 6/14/86.
Scouting Report: A Toronto native, Smith has been drafted twice before (21st round in 2004, 17th round in 2005) but figures to make the third time a charm. He entered his first Division I season to some acclaim after he hit .450 at Midland (Texas) Junior College last spring during a record-setting career there (he owns six significant hitting records). Smith then dominated in the Northwoods League last summer, ranking as the league's top hitting prospect. However, he had trouble cracking the lineup in a crowded Arizona State outfield. His above-average bat eventually got him at-bats, and he showed a patient approach suited for the top of the lineup. His power doesn't project to be more than average. He's an average runner who can handle center field but profiles better in left, making him more of a 'tweener along the lines of ex-big leaguer Todd Dunwoody. A past shoulder problem that required surgery has left his arm fringe-average, if not below.

AVGABRH2B3BHRRBISB
.37313445501103247

 

Posted: 05/23/2007 2:16 AM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 



Speedy8 wrote: BA has their top 100 draft prospects updated, with scouting reports.

Since they have, I'm going to have to do another mock draft.

20. RHP Jarrod Parker- Every year a H.S. arm drops for one reason or another. Parker, an Indiana native, could drop because of his relative lack of competition and his slight of frame. The Dodgers have a high history of taking guys from this region, so I believe they'd snatch him up if he fell. Parker has what they say the best arm action of any pitcher in the draft. If Parker does not fall, LHP Jake McGeary would be the next best thing.

39. 2B Nick Noonan- The Dodgers draft Chase Utley in the second round of the 1997 draft, but failed to sign him. They have the chance to make up for it by selecting and signing the guy who projects to be Utley-like. Noonan is an above-average hitter, solid defender at second and is extremely baseball savy. SS Justin Jackson could be an option here as well.

85. OF Chad Jones- Jones is a multisport star, who plays baseball and football in high school. At 6'3", 220, he's got the body to hit for some serious power. He has above-average speed and an above-average arm that has produced 91 MPH fastballs off the mound. Jones wants to play baseball despite being ranked as the best safety recruit in the nation. It'll take a little money to get him signed, but I believe it'll be worth it. IF Jon Gilmore out of Iowa would be my backup plan.
USC missed out on getting him in football earlier this year, I'd love for the Dodgers to get him in baseball.  He claims to love California as well, per this article.

Posted: 05/23/2007 1:02 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Michael (Arlington, TX): Who is the fastest rising HS player in the draft? Would it be Ahrens, Kozma, or someone else?

Jim Callis: (2:03 PM ET ) I don't think anyone is rocketing up the boards out of nowhere. But in terms of guys going in the first round, we're hearing Kevin Ahrens (3B from Texas) could go as high as 15 and Pete Kozma (SS from Oklahoma) could go in the 21-30 range.


James (MD): If all three of Ahrens, Smoker and Mesoraco are there at 19, who will/should the Phillies take?

Jim Callis: (2:04 PM ET ) I'd take Georgia HS LHP Josh Smoker. I don't think he'll be there, though, so I see the Phillies taking Pennsylvania HS C Devin Mesoraco.


Dean,Madison: What player is shooting up the draft rankings the fastest? Moustakas? Parker? Who is dropping the fastest?

Jim Callis: (2:06 PM ET ) As I said earlier, I don't think anyone's flying up the boards all of a sudden. Indiana HS RHP Jarrod Parker and California HS 3B Mike Moustakas have generated a lot of buzz for a while. Among guys who seemed certain to be first-rounders coming into the year, Oklahoma State 3B Matt Mangini and Texas Christian RHP Jake Arrieta are losing a lot of steam.

Michael (Arlington, TX): Jim, I have heard that Matt Harvey is losing a little steam in the draft. Any reason for this?

Jim Callis: (2:08 PM ET ) Maybe a little. Not so much that he's been bad, but Harvey no longer ranks with Rick Porcello as the top HS arms in the draft. He's in the second tier with guys like Parker, Phillippe Aumont, Madison Bumgarner and Blake Beavan.

greg (toronto): Why isn?t Travis d?Arnaud not more highly thought of? He seems to have a solid bat, defense, and decent speed.

Jim Callis: (2:15 PM ET ) The bat. Scouts question how much D'Arnaud, a HS catcher from southern California, will hit. They believe in his defense behind the plate a lot more.


Chris (Hermosa Beach, CA): Hey Jim, have you ever heard of a pitcher from Capistrano Valley HS, Mike Watt? His family seems to think he is going in the first couple of rounds, but I have never heard of him.

Jim Callis: (2:16 PM ET ) Someone asked me about him last night . . . Watt got a huge rating from the Major League Scouting Bureau, but I don't believe he's going to go in the first five rounds.

cameron (wilmington nc): there is news that the d-rays are not set on taking david price at number one. is this just a smoke screen or bad management?

Jim Callis: (2:18 PM ET ) I don't think either. Rarely will a team announce it's committed to a guy at No. 1 this early in the process. The Rays are looking at Price, Wieters and Vitters. I'll still be surprised if they don't take Price.


scott chicago ridge, il: who do you see the white sox taking at #25?

Jim Callis: (2:19 PM ET ) Someone with a lot more upside than their last two first-rounders, Lance Broadway and Kyle McCulloch. The White Sox haven't been happy with their last two drafts and are revamping their scouting department.

john dublin ohio: Matt Wieters has plummneted in predicted draft rankings. Any chance he'll surprise and finish in the top 3? Will he catch in the majors? Is Boros and signability the main reason for his drop?


Jim Callis:
(2:22 PM ET ) Wieters is the consensus best college position player in the draft, easily. But it's hard to figure where he'll go in the draft, because he's expected to be designated a "special player" by Scott Boras and a lot of teams won't want to mess with that. Signability, not ability, is the only reason he'd drop.


Scott (Lee's Summit, MO): Do you think the Royals might actually take a high school pitcher with the 2nd pick? This team is in a situation where it can't waste these high picks, and HS pitchers have proven to be boom or bust.

Jim Callis: (2:23 PM ET ) Yes, I think they might. The Braves had success doing that while Dayton Moore worked there. All draft picks are boom and bust--it's the nature of the draft. But you can't just shy away from HS pitchers. There are a lot of good ones in the majors.


pj (london) : what's the biggest difference between price and porcello skill wise?

Jim Callis: (2:24 PM ET ) Actually tackled this one in an Ask BA column a couple of weeks ago. To steal from myself:

The biggest distinction is that Price is a lefty and Porcello is a righty. Price is also three years older and more experienced, so there's more of a track record and less projection involved with him. In terms of stuff, there's not much difference. Both guys pitch around 93-94 mph with their fastball and can reach the mid-90s, and both have hard breaking balls. Price has a little more life on his fastball. Though Porcello doesn't need it much in high school, he has an effective changeup, as does Price.

Henry (NYC): Do you think the high school OF from Ga. pulls a francouer and tells the first 13 teams if they draft him, he will go to college? If he is there for the braves do they take him?

Jim Callis: I don't think Jason Heyward will do that. He's a top-10 talent but he very well could be there for Atlanta at 14 without any shenanigans. And I think the Braves would take him

http://proxy.espn.go.com/chat/chatESPN?event_id=15915

Posted: 05/23/2007 1:03 PM

Re: BA Top 100 Draft Prospects 


Yea but hes signed to go to LSU. Thats why he dropped on my list. I don't know if White will draft him high enough.

Posted: 05/23/2007 1:14 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Todd: We know the high picks (rounds 1-2) by reading various lists. Who are the sleeper picks with good upside in rounds 3-10? Thank you.
-Heather

It’s easy to get caught up in the top two rounds – after all, they’re the most exciting players. It’s also much easier to find info about David Price than it is to find it on a potential 9th rounder, but as we’ve seen with Mike Piazza and Albert Pujols, plenty of superstars come out of those later rounds.

With that in mind, I’d like to draw your attention to Exhibit A: Highland High (Medina, OH) outfielder Ben Klafczynski. He doesn’t rank in the top 200 draft prospect this year, but if somebody takes a gamble on him, he’ll be a steal. At 6’3, 195 lbs. he is a legitimate 5-tool threat. Through 19 games this year, he hit .650/.720/1.417 with 10 homers (leading all Ohio preps). He has excellent usable power with a little projection, slightly above-average speed (11 steals) and has used an 88-94 MPH fastball to earn three saves from the mound. A rare lefty thrower/righty hitter, Klafczynski is probably a 7th to 10th rounder right now, but I feel he’s better than that.

Another guy I dig is South Carolina reliever Wynn Pelzer. He’s got great stuff but he doesn’t always show it. One day he’ll throw in the mid-90s with great arm action and a late quiver, then the next he’ll be 88-91 with no life. I haven’t seen him enough to pick his mechanics apart with confidence, but I get the feeling that he’s not far from ironing out his consistency problems. He might go as early as the 4th round and I expect him to wind up as a closer or solid 7th or 8th inning guy in the bigs.

Hey Todd,
As you know, every year players are drafted lower than their projected value due to "signability" issues. Which players do you think will drop, for instance players represented by Scott Boras, or high school players likely to honor their college commitments?
Thanks,
E.J.

It would be crazy because he is so talented, but Rick Porcello could be a candidate to drop because he is apparently asking for the moon this year ($6+ millon bonus and a major league contract). Boras doesn’t want him landing with a team like Pittsburgh or Kansas City where his marketing opportunities will be severely limited, so he’s set Porcello’s price tag high enough to scare those teams away.

The Boras plan is for his most talented clients to slide down the draft board to where a big market/deep-pocketed team like the Red Sox or Yankees can snag them. Don’t be surprised if this happens with Matt Wieters, Rick Porcello and, to a lesser extent, Matt Harvey.

Aside from Boras, there is still a lot of speculation that Massachusetts prep lefty Jack McGeary will be a tough sign thanks to his Stanford commitment, but I’m still hearing that the Dodgers are all over him.

http://story.scout.com/a.z?s=283&p=2&c=646204

Posted: 05/23/2007 2:06 PM

MLB MOCK DRAFT - Picks 1 to 20 



Jonathan Mayo has his newest mock up on MLB.com

1. Tampa Bay Devil Rays: David Price, LHP, Vanderbilt University

Nothing's changed here. There's been talk that the Rays are "officially" looking at Price, Wieters and Josh Vitters. Sure they are. Anything can happen between now and draft day, but you'll have perhaps 29 other teams falling over if Price isn't the guy.
Last week's projection: Price

2. Kansas City Royals: Rick Porcello, RHP, Seton Hall Prep (N.J.)
This stays the same from last week, with no reason to switch Porcello from here. Yes, he's a Scott Boras advisee, but he still is possibly the second-best player in the draft class and arguably the top right-handed pitcher in the pool. There's still a chance they Royals might have to go in another direction, but for now, Porcello is still the guy here.
Last week's projection: Porcello

3. Chicago Cubs: Jarrod Parker, RHP, Norwell HS (Ind.)
This change comes with gritted teeth. I still think the Cubs are more likely to look bat and thus, Vitters in California makes more sense. At the same time, though, they've been high on Parker as well and if they decide to go with an arm instead, Parker's still their guy. Some are concerned he's undersized, but he's got a power arm and some think he's just as good as Porcello, just a feew inches shorter. As an added bonus, putting Parker here makes it easier to project what happens with the next pick
Last week's projection: Vitters

4. Pittsburgh Pirates: Josh Vitters, 3B, Cypress HS (Calif.)
This is the best-case scenario for the Pirates. If the Cubs don't take Vitters, it would be very surprising to see him get past Pittsburgh. Vitters remains the top high school bat in the country and the Pirates don't have many impact bats in their system. If Vitters is taken by the Cubs, it's still up in the air who'll go here. They are looking at college arms like Clemson's Daniel Moskos and there still could be a latecomer jumping into the conversation between now and June 7, so stay tuned.
Last week's projection: Moskos

5. Baltimore Orioles: Ross Detwiler, LHP, Missouri State
Rumors continue that they might make a big splash and if Wieters did fall to here, they wouldn't pass him up. I still have a hard time believing that ownership would sign off on that and the college lefties' names keep coming up in conversations about the Orioles. Detwiler is mentioned more than Moskos, so we'll continue to put him in this spot. He'll pitch Wednesday at the Big 12 tournament with plenty of people watching.
Last week's projection: Detwiler

6. Washington Nationals: Matt Wieters, C, Georgia Tech
There are still several names that are being mentioned here with many different scenarios a possibility depending on what kind of consensus the decision-makers can come up with. If Scherzer re-enters the draft, it would be hard not to project him going here since assistant general manager and vice president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo drafted him a year ago with the Diamondbacks, and Scherzer threw extremely well this past weekend.

For now, though, he's not in the draft pool, so we won't consider him. Rizzo does not fear negotiating with Boras (Scherzer is a Boras client as well, by the way), so if Wieters does slide here, he'd have to be at or near the top of the Nationals' board. That kind of impact bat who could get to the big leagues quickly could be just the splash the organization needs.
Last week's projection: Phillipe Aumont

7. Milwaukee Brewers: Daniel Moskos, LHP, Clemson University
There's still the chance the Brewers will be willing to take a high-priced talent, with new ownership willing and able to make a splash. The Brewers do like Mike Moustakas' bat, but it may turn out that his asking price may be too high even for a team willing to go somewhat above slot. The Brewers are doubling back -- like many teams now -- trying to dot all the i's and cross the t's as best they can for other options. They like Parker and could go that route if he were around. Phillipe Aumont may not be out of the picture just yet, but talk is that Milwaukee is honing in on college lefties who could help the young offense in a hurry. They might prefer Detwiler, but in this scenario, he's off the board. So they'll likely go with Moskos, Clemson's closer-turned-starter.
Last week's projection: Parker

8. Colorado Rockies: Phillipe Aumont, Ecole Du Versant Gatineau, Quebec
Word is that the Rockies would prefer to take an arm with this pick, though they're still keeping a close eye on the Chatsworth High duo in California, Matt Dominguez and Moustakas. They'd have an interest in one of the college lefties should one fall, but they're not here in this scenario. They've been one of many teams scouting the big Canadian right-hander closely and there are many teams right around this pick who are having serious discussions about Aumont. The Rockies had success going north of the border with Jeff Francis, so why not do it again with the 6-foot-7 Aumont?
Last week's projection: Dominguez

9. Arizona Diamondbacks: Mike Moustakas, SS/3B, Chatsworth HS (Calif.)
A great deal depends on what happens with Scherzer. If Arizona signs him, that could mean they'd not be as interested in college pitching as some think they are. If they don't sign him, that could push one of the aforementioned names down to them. They've been watching Aumont closely, for instance, and should he fall, that could be the direction they go in.

If they wanted to go college arm, there's still Brackman, but they also like Moustakas' bat a great deal and they have the financial ability to deal with him if they so choose. He's played shortstop in high school because of Dominguez, but some see him as a third baseman or maybe even as a catcher. There are mixed reports over just how difficult it will be to sign Moustakas, a Boras client, but some feel his asking price won't be quite as high as what's been perceived.
Last week's projection: Moustakas

10. San Francisco Giants: Josh Smoker, LHP, Calhoun HS (Ga.)
The Giants have three picks in the first 30 and have claimed that they'll take the best available guy in each spot. Brackman was in this spot a week ago and while it's not entirely out of the question, it seems now like it's a less likely scenario. The Giants do like college arms, but there's been a lot of talk about them taking at least one high school pitcher in the first round. It's unclear what the order would be (college first, then high school or vice versa), but if Parker or Aumont were around, they'd be interested. If both are gone and they feel that Smoker, one of the top left-handed arms in the prep ranks this year, wouldn't last until they picked again at No. 22, they could nab him now and get some college pitching later on in the round.
Last week's projection: Brackman

11. Seattle Mariners: Casey Weathers, RHP, Vanderbilt
It's been generally believed, almost from the get-go, that the Mariners would be looking for an arm at No. 11. There's the chance they could step up, spend some extra money and go after someone like Brackman, especially if he bounced back in postseason play. But a lot of scouts like the arm of Vanderbilt closer Weathers. A senior, he'd certainly be an easy sign. Too high in the draft for a reliever? Perhaps, but with the M's playing decent ball, the idea of drafting someone who could help out the big club in a hurry might be enticing. Weathers is the best of the college closer lot right now and could join Brandon Morrow in Seattle's bullpen very quickly.

12. Florida Marlins: Jason Heyward, Henry County HS (Ga.)
Not that it's a guarantee (they did take Brett Sinkbeil last year), but chances are, they'll be looking at the prep ranks this time around. If one of the bigger high school arms is still around, like Parker, Aumont or perhaps even Smoker, they might be tempted. Instead, they'll go with the guy generally considered to be the top high school athlete in Jason Heyward, a very toolsy outfielder with tremendous power potential.

13. Cleveland Indians: Matt Dominguez, 3B, Chatsworth HS (Calif.)
Arm or bat, bat or arm? Either way the Indians go with this pick, it's likely to come from the high school ranks. If the Tribe go the pitching route, it's likely that Texas prepster Blake Beavan will be the guy, though guys like Aumont or Parker surely would garner consideration if they were around. That being said, if Dominguez, his Gold Glove-caliber defense and projectable bat are available, Cleveland probably won't let him get past here.

14. Atlanta Braves: Matt Harvey, RHP, Fitch HS (Conn.)
When the draft class is high school heavy and a team tends to like taking prep players, there must be a kid-in-a-candy store type mentality. The Braves haven't made a selection this high in a very long time, usually picking the best high school guy who slides to them at the end of the first round. This year, they'll have more to choose from. Atlanta does like to draft local kids, so it's possible that Heyward or Smoker would go here if they were still available. Florida's Michael Main is also a possibility here. Matt Harvey may have fallen behind Porcello on the high school pitching list, but he hasn't fallen too far. The Braves like power arms and might be willing to deal with Boras to get this one.

15. Cincinnati Reds: Kevin Ahrens, 3B, Memorial HS (Texas)
This one falls under the category of hearing a player's name so much with one team that it's both hard to ignore and hard to not wonder if it's true. There was some talk the Reds would also be interested in Aumont should he slide here, but all of the buzz is that they've been on Houston-area infielder Ahrens all along. He plays shortstop in high school and isn't bad there, but the consensus is that he should move to third where he should profile better both offensively and defensively.

16. Toronto Blue Jays: Devin Mesoraco, C, Punxsatawney HS (Pa.)
The Blue Jays showed last year in taking Travis Snider that they are not afraid to take a high school player if it's a good fit. They've got two picks in the first round (16 and 21) and it wouldn't be surprising if they take one prepster and one college player. It's just a question of which one comes first.

Like with San Francisco, the logic could be to get the high schooler first because he may not be around for their second selection. Remember the name Mesoraco. He's moving up charts about as quickly as any player this year, with some thinking he's the best all-around catching prospect in the class. When all is said and done, the Jays may have to look elsewhere because Mesoraco could be long gone.

17. Texas Rangers: Blake Beavan, RHP, Irving HS (Texas)
This one makes almost too much sense. The Rangers like taking local kids and Beavan is about as local as they come. He would love signing with his home team and fits the prototypical Texas high schooler mold, with a big projectable body and power stuff. The only thing that could keep this from happening, of course, is if the Indians take him at No. 13.

18. St. Louis Cardinals: Matt LaPorta, 1B, University of Florida
The Cardinals have been a pretty college-heavy team the last few years. At the same time, though, two of their top position player prospects -- Colby Rasmus and Bryan Anderson -- were drafted as high schoolers. But there are indications the Cards will be going almost exclusively college in this draft. If they wanted to go with an arm here, Arkansas lefty Nick Schmidt might be a good fit. TCU right-hander Jake Arrieta has been a little inconsistent this season, but the Cards have been watching him closely.

But St. Louis may rather go with some offense and there's been talk they really like LaPorta, who's had an extremely impressive bounce-back season. The Cards aren't afraid to deal with Boras and LaPorta should be ready to sign and get going with his pro career. The only question is what happens when the first baseman is ready for the big leagues and Albert Pujols is standing there.

19. Philadelphia Phillies: Michael Burgess, OF, Hillsborough HS (Fla.)
Every year, the Phillies are associated with the top toolsy, athletic high school position players in the draft class. Granted, they don't always take them -- they nabbed high school pitcher Kyle Drabek in the first round last year when he slid to them -- but it's not a secret they do like the guys with tools. The first two names that come to mind are Burgess and Kentrail Davis. There's a split over Burgess' hitting ability, but he might have as much raw power potential as anyone. Burgess hails from the same high school that produced Dwight Gooden and Gary Sheffield, among others, and if the Phillies feel they can tap into that potential, they'll take him.

20. Los Angeles Dodgers: Madison Bumgarner, LHP, South Caldwell HS (N.C.)
Like the Braves picking six picks ahead of them, it's widely known the Dodgers like taking high school players. They especially like young arms and the Dodgers would be interested in any of the high school pitchers mentioned above should they slide. They'd also consider switching gears and going with Dominguez if he somehow were still around. Going on the assumption he won't, there are still some nice prep pitchers to choose from.

Tim Alderson from Scottsdale, Ariz., gets mentioned for the first time here, but it's a safer bet to pick a lefty since Los Angeles likes taking them early (Scott Elbert, Clayton Kershaw). That list includes Nathan Vineyard from Georgia and Danny Duffy from California, but it may be topped by Bumgarner, who has shown a consistently impressive fastball all season. He doesn't have much in the way of secondary stuff right now, but lefties who can pump it up into the mid-to-upper 90s don't come around all that often. Also, the Dodgers don't shy away from arm-strength guys who can be taught how to throw offspeed and breaking stuff once they are in the fold.

Posted: 05/23/2007 2:27 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 



dodgerPorVida wrote: Michael (Arlington, TX): Who is the fastest rising HS player in the draft? Would it be Ahrens, Kozma, or someone else?

Jim Callis: (2:03 PM ET ) I don't think anyone is rocketing up the boards out of nowhere. But in terms of guys going in the first round, we're hearing Kevin Ahrens (3B from Texas) could go as high as 15 and Pete Kozma (SS from Oklahoma) could go in the 21-30 range.
Crap and I took Kozma off my mock cuz I thought he would be taken to high for us and now there saying 21-30 ? Errrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr. Iv liked that guy since he was a Jr in HS. Ahrens at 15 possibly ? YUCK !

Last edited 05/23/2007 6:51 PM by washie

Posted: 05/23/2007 2:35 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Not a huge fan of the Bumgarner pick. Logan White doesnt like one-trick ponies and Bumgarner really doesnt have much other than his fastball. I still believe McGeary or Smoker will be the pick.

Posted: 05/23/2007 6:43 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


two week til the draft and at this moment (changes every moment), this would be my ideal 5 round mock...

1st (19)- Kevin Ahrens SS prep: any bat that gets compared to chipper jones gets my attention. Although he wont stay at SS, it doesnt matter, his bat is special.

1st supp (39)- Jack McGeary LHP prep: Im going to take the dodgers rumor connection and run with it. Dodgers get a predraft deal done to pick McGeary at 39 and pay him mid first round money.

2nd (87)- Jordan Zimmerman RHP 4yr Wisconsin-Stevens Point: smallish right hander but with explosive 3 pitch mix. Clean delivery and was excellent in the Northwoods League last summer.

3rd (117)- Kevin Patterson 1b/of prep: plus power potential with the bat. He drops because he broke a bone in his hand and scouts couldnt see alot of him this spring.

4th (147)- Matt Presley ss prep: like ahrens, he wont stay at SS but he has an explosive bat and being from Colorado has limited his exposure a bit.

5th (177)- Mike Bianucci OF 4yr Auburn: Limited to LF defensively, but he has an excellent bat.

Posted: 05/23/2007 7:21 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 



natedogge7 wrote: two week til the draft and at this moment (changes every moment), this would be my ideal 5 round mock...

1st (19)- Kevin Ahrens SS prep: any bat that gets compared to chipper jones gets my attention. Although he wont stay at SS, it doesnt matter, his bat is special.

1st supp (39)- Jack McGeary LHP prep: Im going to take the dodgers rumor connection and run with it. Dodgers get a predraft deal done to pick McGeary at 39 and pay him mid first round money.

2nd (87)- Jordan Zimmerman RHP 4yr Wisconsin-Stevens Point: smallish right hander but with explosive 3 pitch mix. Clean delivery and was excellent in the Northwoods League last summer.

3rd (117)- Kevin Patterson 1b/of prep: plus power potential with the bat. He drops because he broke a bone in his hand and scouts couldnt see alot of him this spring.

4th (147)- Matt Presley ss prep: like ahrens, he wont stay at SS but he has an explosive bat and being from Colorado has limited his exposure a bit.

5th (177)- Mike Bianucci OF 4yr Auburn: Limited to LF defensively, but he has an excellent bat.
Nate,
    I saw that you will be doing the mock draft for the blue at sickels site, will you making all your picks according to whom you think Logan would pick or the best available person available that you would want the blue to pick? And are the other participants in the draft allowed to the same or according to what the team might do?

Posted: 05/23/2007 7:35 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


its my call in the mock draft. so its who i like best.

Posted: 05/23/2007 9:23 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 



natedogge7 wrote: its my call in the mock draft. so its who i like best.
Oh, sure, it's all about YOU!!!

Re: Your mock draft, Ahrens would be alright at #20, though I'd prefer a pitcher like Harvey or Smoker. I get the feeling that McGeary would take a million, which wouldnt be too much over slot. Zimmerman will probably be gone by #87. Havent heard about Presley. Bianucci might go to the Red Sox but he sounds like he has a great bat.

Posted: 05/23/2007 9:46 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Also, to Washie or DAS or anyone who's been following the draft closely, do you guys know much about Anthony Rizzo? He's a 1B from Florida, signed with Florida Atlantic. He hit cleanup on the same travel team that Josh Vitters played on, so that should tell you something about his bat. He's got great size at 6'3 220 lbs. Pretty decent athlete, good around the bag at first. Good power and an advanced approach. Not sure why he's rated so low, as he wasnt in either PGCC's or BA's Top 200. I think he'd be a great value pick in the 4th or 5th.

Oh, and he's not to be confused with Manhatten first baseman Matt Rizzotti.

Last edited 05/23/2007 9:47 PM by ThinkBlue116

Posted: 05/23/2007 10:11 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 



ThinkBlue116 wrote: Also, to Washie or DAS or anyone who's been following the draft closely, do you guys know much about Anthony Rizzo? He's a 1B from Florida, signed with Florida Atlantic. He hit cleanup on the same travel team that Josh Vitters played on, so that should tell you something about his bat. He's got great size at 6'3 220 lbs. Pretty decent athlete, good around the bag at first. Good power and an advanced approach. Not sure why he's rated so low, as he wasnt in either PGCC's or BA's Top 200. I think he'd be a great value pick in the 4th or 5th.

Oh, and he's not to be confused with Manhatten first baseman Matt Rizzotti.
http://www.douglasbaseball.com/roster.asp

Hes a large left hitting firstbaseman but hes also a left handed pitcher.
Anthony Rizzo plays high school baseball at Marjory-Stoneman Douglas High School for Dean Florio and was named a Puma All-American and a Second-Team AFLAC All-American last season. The first baseman played summer ball for the ABD Bulldogs under Mike Speirs. He will join his brother John Rizzo, who is a member of the FAU football team, at FAU."Anthony is a big, strong, physical player that has as much power as anyone in the country," said McCormack. "I also like the way he handles himself around the bag. I am excited that he will be here next year." http://fausports.cstv.com/sports/m-basebl/spec-rel/111006aaa.html

Posted: 05/23/2007 10:21 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 



natedogge7 wrote: two week til the draft and at this moment (changes every moment), this would be my ideal 5 round mock...

1st (19)- Kevin Ahrens SS prep: any bat that gets compared to chipper jones gets my attention. Although he wont stay at SS, it doesnt matter, his bat is special.

1st supp (39)- Jack McGeary LHP prep: Im going to take the dodgers rumor connection and run with it. Dodgers get a predraft deal done to pick McGeary at 39 and pay him mid first round money.

2nd (87)- Jordan Zimmerman RHP 4yr Wisconsin-Stevens Point: smallish right hander but with explosive 3 pitch mix. Clean delivery and was excellent in the Northwoods League last summer.

3rd (117)- Kevin Patterson 1b/of prep: plus power potential with the bat. He drops because he broke a bone in his hand and scouts couldnt see alot of him this spring.

4th (147)- Matt Presley ss prep: like ahrens, he wont stay at SS but he has an explosive bat and being from Colorado has limited his exposure a bit.

5th (177)- Mike Bianucci OF 4yr Auburn: Limited to LF defensively, but he has an excellent bat.

It looks like you understood my last tip on your last top 5 round mock. Good job, the only problem I have with this one is Zimmerman. As you know from past post I was a big fan of his but with guys like Savery and other left handed pitching being thick in this draft I took Zimmerman off my mock as I believe White will skip him and go for another player in that spot.

Iv heard the Giants love him and will be going hard after him, but if White does draft him thats fine, but I just wouldn't bank on it, as my over all mock list showed. I notice you've added alot of guys I have and am high on like Patterson,Presely who is already moved to third, and Bianucci who I believe is a draftable sophmore. Looking very good Nate, once again good job.

Although as names to replace Zimmermon that could be sleepers that you might either wanna put in his place and or just move every one up a round and put in round 5 are as fallows:

Evan Danieli-RHP-Seton Hall Prep HS

Anthony Ranaudo-RHP- St. Rose HS

Cole Rohrbough-LHP-Western Nevada Community College (If not signed by Braves)

Jonathan Bachanov-RHP-University HS (Was said to of hit 97MPH but is very raw and new to pitching so he may drop)

Julian Sampson-RHP-Skyline HS

KADE KEOWEN-CF-LSU-Eunice (Hasn't played ball much but showing alot of skills)

ECT ECT ECT...

Posted: 05/23/2007 10:47 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Thanks Washie. BaseballWebTV has video of Rizzo and I'm a little underwhelmed by his swing. He looks a little stiff and his bat looks slow. But he torques his hips well and has an impressive build.

Posted: 05/23/2007 11:35 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Yea when I first saw him he took me as a guy that would be a very stiff person on his lower part (No sick jokes please), and a free swinger on the top. Kinda like a smaller version of Prince Fielders swing maybe, not alot of leg action but from the hips up all action I guess with his arms. If that makes sence.

Posted: 05/24/2007 1:15 AM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread 


Evan Danieli is a player I like a lot as well.  I think he will fall due to concerns about signability if he does not go in the top two rounds.  He has a huge and very projectable frame but due to being overshadowed by Porcello I can see his commitment to Notre Dame as fairly strong.

Posted: 05/24/2007 1:40 PM

2007 Draft Thread - Anthony Rizzo 



Group 2 ( Rounds 4 - 10 )

Anthony Rizzo    1B   Sr.   L-L   6-3   220   Stoneman Douglas HS, FL   
8-8-89
SCOUTING REPORT: Rizzo hit cleanup in 2006 on a California-based summer team that included Josh Vitters, Nick Noonan and Brett Krill, which tells you something about his hitting ability. Rizzo has easy plus raw power and has shown that he can hit high-velocity pitching with no adjustments to his approach. He’s an agile defensive first baseman and an above-average athlete for his size. Rizzo was getting lots of draft attention late as scouts were learning to appreciate his power and smooth, consistent swing.  

Last edited 05/24/2007 1:42 PM by DAS1410

Posted: 05/24/2007 2:39 PM

Re: 2007 Draft Thread - Anthony Rizzo 



DAS1410 wrote:
Group 2 ( Rounds 4 - 10 )

Anthony Rizzo    1B   Sr.   L-L   6-3   220   Stoneman Douglas HS, FL   
8-8-89
SCOUTING REPORT: Rizzo hit cleanup in 2006 on a California-based summer team that included Josh Vitters, Nick Noonan and Brett Krill, which tells you something about his hitting ability. Rizzo has easy plus raw power and has shown that he can hit high-velocity pitching with no adjustments to his approach. He’s an agile defensive first baseman and an above-average athlete for his size. Rizzo was getting lots of draft attention late as scouts were learning to appreciate his power and smooth, consistent swing.  
rizzo sounds really really interesting. is he ranked anywhere in PGs 200?
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