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Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame?

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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:10 AM

Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


To me he was a great player on really bad teams. I don't understand why he's having such a hard time getting in. Maybe his numbers just don't stack up with other all time greats but I remember watching him as a kid and he was the only reason to watch the Braves. He was the Atlanta Braves before Chipper, Smoltz, Maddux, and Glavine came along.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:19 AM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


Couldn't agree more.  It's a shame that the steroid era pretty much screwed an honest man.  Sad that most of us never really got to see him play as a contender. 

Dale should be in the hall.  It's not like we're asking for David Justice or Bob Horner.

Both Dale and Fred McGriff should be in.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:34 AM

RE: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


He will, probably when he's eligible for the veterans ballot. A lot of fringe guys have gotten in that way, Sam Thompson, Travis Jackson, Chuck Klein, Earle Combs, Phil Rizzuto and many more are worse career total players who got in on veteran ballots, Murphy will get in, just not on the BBWAA.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:44 AM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



ChapelHillMatt wrote: To me he was a great player on really bad teams. I don't understand why he's having such a hard time getting in. Maybe his numbers just don't stack up with other all time greats but I remember watching him as a kid and he was the only reason to watch the Braves. He was the Atlanta Braves before Chipper, Smoltz, Maddux, and Glavine came along.
BTW the reason he's not getting in is simple, from 32-37 he compiled a 1.8 bWAR. While bWAR isn't the metric to get into the Hall, it shows how futile his production was after 31. That's why he's not in the hall, Up til 31 Murphy was on a good pace, if instead of falling off the face of the earth he aged more gracefully and compiled about 10 more WAR he'd have a much stronger case. 20 more and he would have been in the Ernie Banks area so he would have for sure been in . He just fell off the face of the earth.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 8:29 AM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


Wth? bWar? Trying to hard with advanced stats? The reason Murphy isn't in is because his counting stats aren't big enough due to him falling off a cliff at 32. Same reason Andruw Jones will never make it

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--- ZitotheBrave wrote:


ChapelHillMatt wrote: To me he was a great player on really bad teams. I don't understand why he's having such a hard time getting in. Maybe his numbers just don't stack up with other all time greats but I remember watching him as a kid and he was the only reason to watch the Braves. He was the Atlanta Braves before Chipper, Smoltz, Maddux, and Glavine came along.
BTW the reason he's not getting in is simple, from 32-37 he compiled a 1.8 bWAR. While bWAR isn't the metric to get into the Hall, it shows how futile his production was after 31. That's why he's not in the hall, Up til 31 Murphy was on a good pace, if instead of falling off the face of the earth he aged more gracefully and compiled about 10 more WAR he'd have a much stronger case. 20 more and he would have been in the Ernie Banks area so he would have for sure been in . He just fell off the face of the earth.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 11:14 AM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


No.

There are many players that have better stats than him that is not even in the Hall pre Steroid era.

He had two great years and then a bunch of average years and like KCGREW said, he fell off the cliff at a very EARLY age of 32.





To be the man, you have to beat the man and so far I am undefeated.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 11:41 AM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



krgrecw wrote: Wth? bWar? Trying to hard with advanced stats? The reason Murphy isn't in is because his counting stats aren't big enough due to him falling off a cliff at 32. Same reason Andruw Jones will never make it


Except Druw should make it, because for a decade, he was the greatest defender of all time. He just went from a lock to a more borderline case. He has a much stronger case than Murphy.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 12:28 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



ZitotheBrave wrote:
krgrecw wrote: Wth? bWar? Trying to hard with advanced stats? The reason Murphy isn't in is because his counting stats aren't big enough due to him falling off a cliff at 32. Same reason Andruw Jones will never make it


Except Druw should make it, because for a decade, he was the greatest defender of all time. He just went from a lock to a more borderline case. He has a much stronger case than Murphy.

Druw was never considered "the best of the best" the way Murphy was during the 80's.  You keep pointing back to his fielding, but precious few position players have been inducted, largely due to their defense.  That list includes Ozzie Smith, Brooks Robinson and Bill Mazeroski...and Maz got in through Vet's Committee.  The difference is post season heroics.  Voters love that stuff.  If Murph hadn't tailed off during the late 80's, he was slam dunk.  He was one of the game's most feared hitters. 

With Druw, voters see a much more dramatic drop at a relatively young age, during the roids era, when there were several other players bringing much more power.  Google "andruw jones hall of fame."  Plenty has been written from all angles.  So, it's not just Braves fanboy homerism. 

To add, it'd be interesting to see how many of the voters actually even pay attention to WAR, esp. when there are 3 different versions.  You might be surprised at the relative lack of acceptance in evaluating performance and other factors.

Kelly Johnson?  Utley-like IMO.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 12:43 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


1983 27 Braves 162 589 131 178 24 4 36 0 121 90 12 110 0 6 2 15 .302 .393 .540
1984 28 Braves 162 607 94 176 32 8 36 0 100 79 20 134 0 3 2 13 .290 .372 .547
1985 29 Braves 162 616 118 185 32 2 37 0 111 90 15 141 0 5 1 14 .300 .388 .539
1986 30 Braves 160 614 89 163 29 7 29 0 83 75 5 141 0 1 2 10 .265 .347 .477
1987 31 Braves 159 566 115 167 27 1 44 1 105 115 29 136 0 5 7 11 .295 .417 .580

Decent 5 year run but not HOF worthy





To be the man, you have to beat the man and so far I am undefeated.

Last edited 1/16/2013 12:44 PM by AerchAngel

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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:09 PM

RE: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


Another candidate for the Hall of Very Good. Heckuva nice guy, but I doubt he gets in. He just didn't do it well enough for long enough. FWIW I dont see Andruw getting in either, but Andruw probably has a better shot than Murph

Last edited 1/16/2013 1:10 PM by Trav79

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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:25 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



Knucksie wrote:
Druw was never considered "the best of the best" the way Murphy was during the 80's.  You keep pointing back to his fielding, but precious few position players have been inducted, largely due to their defense.  That list includes Ozzie Smith, Brooks Robinson and Bill Mazeroski...and Maz got in through Vet's Committee.  The difference is post season heroics.  Voters love that stuff.  If Murph hadn't tailed off during the late 80's, he was slam dunk.  He was one of the game's most feared hitters. 

With Druw, voters see a much more dramatic drop at a relatively young age, during the roids era, when there were several other players bringing much more power.  Google "andruw jones hall of fame."  Plenty has been written from all angles.  So, it's not just Braves fanboy homerism. 

To add, it'd be interesting to see how many of the voters actually even pay attention to WAR, esp. when there are 3 different versions.  You might be surprised at the relative lack of acceptance in evaluating performance and other factors.

And Andruw is a better defender than Ozzie and Brooks.

Andruw Jones is the best defensive player I've ever seen and maybe more than any player ever had a positive impact on the men aroudn him defensively. From 2005-2007 Francoeur looked like he may be the best defensive RF in baseball posting a combined 40.5 UZR in those season, his total for every season after that? -6.4. JD Drew had one season with an UZR over 11, 2004 where it was 16.3.

Andruw should get in because of being a freak with his glove, doesn't hurt that he could hit pretty well as well.

While it's not fair to Murph, you can't compare him to Druw, he was average to below average defensively for his position and wasn't that much better of a hitter than Druw (120 wRC+ vs 111) Andruw meanwhile is the best player to ever play CF defensively for a career and has the second highest Fielding run total of any player ever (only one more healthy season behind Brooks Robinson)

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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:29 PM

RE: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


I'd like to see #3 get in.... but then again...I'd also like to see Glenn Hubbard, Bruce Benedict, Claudell Washington, and of course, Biff Pocaroba make it too...
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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:54 PM

RE: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



HulaVol wrote: I'd like to see #3 get in.... but then again...I'd also like to see Glenn Hubbard, Bruce Benedict, Claudell Washington, and of course, Biff Pocaroba make it too...
What about Andres Thomas and Ozzie Virgil?
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Posted: 1/16/2013 1:57 PM

RE: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


Brian Asselstine is a shoe in.

Jeff Borroughs as well.

Oh the days of Pepe Frias, Jerry Royster and the hodge podge outfield.
ChapelHillMatt wrote:
HulaVol wrote: I'd like to see #3 get in.... but then again...I'd also like to see Glenn Hubbard, Bruce Benedict, Claudell Washington, and of course, Biff Pocaroba make it too...
What about Andres Thomas and Ozzie Virgil?





To be the man, you have to beat the man and so far I am undefeated.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 2:08 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



AerchAngel wrote:
198327Braves162589131178244360121901211006215.302.393.540
198428Braves16260794176328360100792013403213.290.372.547
198529Braves162616118185322370111901514105114.300.388.539
198630Braves160614891632972908375514101210.265.347.477
198731Braves1595661151672714411051152913605711.295.417.580

Decent 5 year run but not HOF worthy

/You should make note he was MVP in '82 and '83.  They generally give those to the best player in the league for that year. He will get in, those back to back MVP's will make the difference eventually.  He is the only two time MVP not in, that means he was the best of the best in a league that included names like Bench, Schmidt, and Dawson.

Some of you act like the drop off was on purpose.  He lost his knees people.  Just ask Chipper...
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Posted: 1/16/2013 2:24 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


Fred McGriff should go in before Murphy, his stats along with Edgar Martinez are FAR superior in their career.
RobertJSublett wrote:
AerchAngel wrote:
1983 27 Braves 162 589 131 178 24 4 36 0 121 90 12 110 0 6 2 15 .302 .393 .540
1984 28 Braves 162 607 94 176 32 8 36 0 100 79 20 134 0 3 2 13 .290 .372 .547
1985 29 Braves 162 616 118 185 32 2 37 0 111 90 15 141 0 5 1 14 .300 .388 .539
1986 30 Braves 160 614 89 163 29 7 29 0 83 75 5 141 0 1 2 10 .265 .347 .477
1987 31 Braves 159 566 115 167 27 1 44 1 105 115 29 136 0 5 7 11 .295 .417 .580

Decent 5 year run but not HOF worthy

/You should make note he was MVP in '82 and '83.  They generally give those to the best player in the league for that year. He will get in, those back to back MVP's will make the difference eventually.  He is the only two time MVP not in, that means he was the best of the best in a league that included names like Bench, Schmidt, and Dawson.

Some of you act like the drop off was on purpose.  He lost his knees people.  Just ask Chipper...





To be the man, you have to beat the man and so far I am undefeated.

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Posted: 1/16/2013 3:04 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



RobertJSublett wrote:
AerchAngel wrote:
198327Braves162589131178244360121901211006215.302.393.540
198428Braves16260794176328360100792013403213.290.372.547
198529Braves162616118185322370111901514105114.300.388.539
198630Braves160614891632972908375514101210.265.347.477
198731Braves1595661151672714411051152913605711.295.417.580

Decent 5 year run but not HOF worthy

/You should make note he was MVP in '82 and '83.  They generally give those to the best player in the league for that year. He will get in, those back to back MVP's will make the difference eventually.  He is the only two time MVP not in, that means he was the best of the best in a league that included names like Bench, Schmidt, and Dawson.

Some of you act like the drop off was on purpose.  He lost his knees people.  Just ask Chipper...
Unfortunately he dragged his stats down by trying to hang on. If he would of hung it up sooner he doesn't retire as a .265 hitter.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 3:28 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


I hope Murph finally gets in. Andruw should definitely get in. Yeah he has a low avg. But the man has 10 GG and considered by many to be the 2nd best defensive outfielder ever to play the game. Ozzie Smith is in based purely on defense. Why would a guy with as good of defense in CF with almost 450 HRs not get in?

Please bring Andruw Jones Back in 2012!!

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Posted: 1/16/2013 3:43 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 


If it were possible, which it is not, I wonder how good Murph and McGriff would look if you could scale back the inflated steroid numbers of Bonds, McGuire, Sosa, Arod, Palmeiro and others. With the great character and the elimination of Playstation numbers both might get in.
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Posted: 1/16/2013 4:41 PM

Re: Will Dale Murphy ever make the Hall of Fame? 



RobertJSublett wrote:
AerchAngel wrote:
1983 27 Braves 162 589 131 178 24 4 36 0 121 90 12 110 0 6 2 15 .302 .393 .540
1984 28 Braves 162 607 94 176 32 8 36 0 100 79 20 134 0 3 2 13 .290 .372 .547
1985 29 Braves 162 616 118 185 32 2 37 0 111 90 15 141 0 5 1 14 .300 .388 .539
1986 30 Braves 160 614 89 163 29 7 29 0 83 75 5 141 0 1 2 10 .265 .347 .477
1987 31 Braves 159 566 115 167 27 1 44 1 105 115 29 136 0 5 7 11 .295 .417 .580

Decent 5 year run but not HOF worthy

/You should make note he was MVP in '82 and '83.  They generally give those to the best player in the league for that year. He will get in, those back to back MVP's will make the difference eventually.  He is the only two time MVP not in, that means he was the best of the best in a league that included names like Bench, Schmidt, and Dawson.

Some of you act like the drop off was on purpose.  He lost his knees people.  Just ask Chipper...
I never saw the guy play, but a look at his numbers says he doesn't stack up. It doesn't matter why he fell off so hard, he did. That's what counts.
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