Ithurtstowatch wrote: Not a prediction - just how it will go...in route to a 42 - 3 loss. 

CPT Obvious says turn-overs will rule the day.  If we can be +2 we (Army) will win, if AF is even or +1 they will win.

The Players
In the games that I have watched, it appears to me that AF has more fight man-for-man than Army does, same for Navy.  That is what won the games for each against Army last year -- they just are psychologically tougher and have faith they will beat Army.  We are the fragile child that folds at the first hint of adversity.

The Coaches
Calhoun and his staff seem to be more creative and inspirational on both sides of the ball.  AF did a great job against Michigan earlier in the year -- extremely well coached game.  Also, it seems like they adapt better during the game than Army ever has.  They also have better depth and their players are ready to come in and contribute rather than clamming-up as Army's subs seem to often do.  Air Force seems to be able to change it's pace and the coaches recognize momentum.  To me, it appears that Army's offense has been much more effective when they are forced to play up-tempo.  You never see us deviate from the card system and delayed snaps until we are two touchdowns behind with 6 minutes to play.  We ought to be able to change tempo from time-to-tiime to see what happens . . . we might be surprised.

The Programs
Under Barry, our excuse was we were playing the wrong style offense.  With Ross, our excuse was he was too old, had the deer in the headlights look too many times, was emotionally crushed at times.  Brock, out of his element as a head coach.  Now that we are playing the right offense, our coach seems to keep an even keel, and has been a successful D1 coach, nothing seems to have improved.  Our problems are much bigger than coaching, and we are not even close to getting them addressed.

Today however Army plays with passion, responds when the pressure is on, and controlled but inspired through-out the game.  Army 38 - AF 35.

jimbearnj wrote: While the history is against Army I like an upset. Army 38-31. Army may have trouble defensively keeping Air Force's running game in check. However last year Army held the Falcons to only 179 rushing yards which was well below their season average. The Black Knights played a 5-2 look most of the game and allowed just 3.3 yards per carry.

Like USMA84 says Air Force's defense isn't very good against the run. Having a healthy Trent Steelman ready to play helps Army. Last year they ran the ball down the Falcons throat in the first half till Air Force realized that replacement QB Max Jenkins didn't have the speed to hurt them and adjusted. While Air Force did a nice job defending against Nevada last game the week before they allowed 409 rushing yards to New Mexico. Army should have won last year's game. Air Force is the better team but I have a feeling the Black Knights pull an upset at home. Army 38-31.

keco616 wrote: No reason not to expect more of the same. With one of the worst defenses in post-war college football history, Troy Calhoun's offense should be prepared for the walk-through scrimmage they will see out there. On offense, Army should expect their rudimentary offense as easy to prepare for, maybe score two TDs in garbage time. When our bread and butter isn't working, it flat out doesn't work. It is quite clear that the key to decimating Army is 1. showing up, but also 2. keying the fullback. In the games where defenses have stacked the nose and took away the FB, we've been poor offensively. Ball St, SDSU, and Stony Point all figured it out.

Air Force 51
Army 17

I fully expect the scoreboard to be a lie at half time and to keep on fighting.

If I may inject a little levity here.

To be fair, Keco did say that the key to decimating Army begins with showing up, and Air Force all but admitted that they failed to do so.