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RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
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Posted: 1/1/2013 12:55 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Our RPI dropped to #11 after yesterdays game.
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Posted: 1/1/2013 1:49 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
state95 wrote: Our RPI dropped to #11 after yesterdays game. Not a surprise. UNCG's RPI was pretty bad. |
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Posted: 1/1/2013 1:57 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
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--- state95 wrote:
Our RPI dropped to #11 after yesterdays game.
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Lets go ahead and call off the rest of the season
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Posted: 1/1/2013 2:21 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
moocowTuckoo wrote:
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--- state95 wrote:
Our RPI dropped to #11 after yesterdays game.
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Lets go ahead and call off the rest of the season I posted it because the previous poster had not updated RPI to include yesterdays games. But thanks for your contribution to the thread.
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Posted: 1/1/2013 2:24 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
It will drop again after we blow the doors off of BC.
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Posted: 1/1/2013 2:27 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
^
Wouldn't be so sure about that. Have you seen all other aspects of our team aside from offensive efficiency. That combined with this being a road game has me doubting we will blow doors off. Hell, we didn't blow the doors off uncg.
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Posted: 1/1/2013 2:57 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
A win by UConn at Marquette today should help us.
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Posted: 1/1/2013 8:37 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
hunwolf wrote: It will drop again after we blow the doors off of BC. I'm not so sure. BC's record is 8-5, not 2-10. Furthremore, it would be a road win, worth 1.6... not the 0.4 of a home win. We may move a spot or two, but probably more because of other teams than because of our own game.
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- St83grad
- Bench Warmer
- 2279 posts this site
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Posted: 1/1/2013 9:25 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
This site updates the RPI as soon as a game is over. www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html |
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Posted: 1/2/2013 8:21 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
St83grad wrote: This site updates the RPI as soon as a game is over.
www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html Nice link! Thanks!!
GO PACK!!! BEAT BC!!!! |
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Posted: 1/2/2013 9:10 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
St83grad wrote: This site updates the RPI as soon as a game is over.
www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html Excellent link. Even though BC's RPIis that low, an away win earns good points. Let us beat BC as we should. Hopefully it will not be a nail biter. If we cover the spread (7 point favorite), it shouldn't. But ACC games are tough no matter who you play. I am actually kind of glad to play this first one on the road......for some reason, I think it will it make them more focused and play for 40 solid minutes.
Last edited 1/2/2013 11:23 AM by chicwolf67
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Posted: 1/2/2013 11:19 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
--------------------------------------------- --- chicwolf67 wrote: St83grad wrote: This site updates the RPI as soon as a game is over.
www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html Excellent link. Even though BC's RPIis that low, an away win earns good points. Let us BC as we should. Hopefully it will not be a nail biter. If we cover the spread (7 point favorite), it shouldn't. But ACC games are tough no matter who you play. I am actually kind of glad to play this first one on the road......for some reason, I hope it makes the more focused and plays for 40 solid minutes. --------------------------------------------- This site is cool. You can drill down and see the effect of each game, and even opponents opponents effects. |
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Posted: 1/2/2013 12:12 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
According to that site, it gives us a 9% chance of winning at Cameron. Probably pretty accurate. :(
22-9, 11-7. 27 RPI predicted result. Hopefully, we can improve on that forecast.
"Holy crap, it wasn't Davis' tuDor, it was UNC's tuDor. Learn to spell."
4thHarry
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Posted: 1/2/2013 12:28 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
If we lose 7 conference games, Thaingram not be only mad dude here, lol.
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Posted: 1/2/2013 1:44 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
wolfinphoenix wrote: According to that site, it gives us a 9% chance of winning at Cameron. Probably pretty accurate. :(
22-9, 11-7. 27 RPI predicted result. Hopefully, we can improve on that forecast. Funny....their chance of winnning percentage would give us a 12-6 record. |
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Posted: 1/2/2013 2:04 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
11-7 is not unlikely. folks, we have to realize we are one injury away or one main guy (leslie or howell in froul trouble) away from struggling to beat a team. Our depth is non existent.
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Posted: 1/3/2013 9:48 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Through games of Jan 2nd :
RPI #15 (really changed a lot based on other team's games)
Sagarin #25
Pomeroy #32 (note UNC-CHeat now behind us at 34)
GO PACK!!! BEAT BC!!!
BC is at :
RPI #134
Sagarin #161
Pomeroy #150
Would be a solid road win in the ACC!! GO PACK!!!
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Posted: 1/3/2013 11:27 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
XxPack18xX wrote: 11-7 is not unlikely. folks, we have to realize we are one injury away or one main guy (leslie or howell in froul trouble) away from struggling to beat a team. Our depth is non existent. Exactly. I think that's also a reason it may seem like we are playing matador defense at times early in games. |
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Posted: 1/3/2013 11:29 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
wolfinphoenix wrote: According to that site, it gives us a 9% chance of winning at Cameron. Probably pretty accurate. :(
22-9, 11-7. 27 RPI predicted result. Hopefully, we can improve on that forecast. I'd take it. Hope we do better, but wouldn't be disappointed. Was hoping for single digit loss total this year (22-9 wouldn't cut it unless we win ACC tourney and national title  ) |
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- WOLFDAC
 - "Prue Gold"
- 1934 posts this site
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Posted: 1/3/2013 11:34 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
I wonder if one of the 7 losses is the loss to BC one site predicts(see BC game thread)? I just don't see us losing 7 conf games.
Life long Wolfpack Fan....Alumni Class of 1989
The Wolves are on The Road.
It was here first-"ANYA FACE!" 11/16/2012
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Posted: 1/3/2013 11:35 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
statwolf81 wrote:
wolfinphoenix wrote: According to that site, it gives us a 9% chance of winning at Cameron. Probably pretty accurate. :(
22-9, 11-7. 27 RPI predicted result. Hopefully, we can improve on that forecast.
I'd take it. Hope we do better, but wouldn't be disappointed. Was hoping for single digit loss total this year (22-9 wouldn't cut it unless we win ACC tourney and national title ) I'd take that! |
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Posted: 1/3/2013 12:58 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Don't think we lose 7 games. 13-5 more likely.....IMO
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Posted: 1/3/2013 1:15 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
They don't look too kindly on ACC Teams (Expected RPI)......
Duke (1.1)
Miami FL (24.9) North Carolina State (31.2) North Carolina (40.2) Maryland (56.5) Virginia (60.9) Georgia Tech (93.7) Florida St. (95.0) Clemson (116.7) Virginia Tech (133.5) Boston College (147.4) Wake Forest (158.9) |
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Posted: 1/3/2013 1:17 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
WOLFDAC wrote: I wonder if one of the 7 losses is the loss to BC one site predicts(see BC game thread)? I just don't see us losing 7 conf games. I took the RPI prediction from: http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/North%20Carolina% 20St..html and sorted by "spread" to show the predicted losses/close games: | Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Prob(W) | Spread | | 7-Feb | Duke (1.1) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 9% | -15.3 | | 12-Jan | Duke (1.1) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 27% | -7.1 | | 29-Jan | Virginia (60.9) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 38% | -3.6 | | 23-Feb | North Carolina (40.2) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 39% | -3.2 | | 16-Jan | Maryland (56.5) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 42% | -2.4 | | 3-Mar | Georgia Tech (93.7) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 51% | 0.1 | | 10-Feb | Clemson (116.7) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 53% | 0.9 | | 9-Mar | Florida St. (95.0) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 55% | 1.5 | | 2-Feb | Miami FL (24.9) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 63% | 3.7 | | 26-Jan | North Carolina (40.2) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 67% | 5 | | 22-Jan | Wake Forest (158.9) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 73% | 7.1 | | 5-Jan | Boston College (147.4) | ACC | A | 0-0 | 74% | 7.3 | | 9-Jan | Georgia Tech (93.7) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 77% | 8.3 | | 20-Jan | Clemson (116.7) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 79% | 9.1 | | 19-Feb | Florida St. (95.0) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 80% | 9.7 | | 16-Feb | Virginia Tech (133.5) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 88% | 13.6 | | 6-Mar | Wake Forest (158.9) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 91% | 15.3 | | 27-Feb | Boston College (147.4) | ACC | H | 0-0 | 91% | 15.5 |
“We never said it just started in 2007!” -Holden Thorp when confronted with the leak of Julius Peppers' transcript 8/21/2012
Last edited 1/3/2013 1:26 PM by wuffapotamus
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Posted: 1/3/2013 4:11 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
I know I'm misinterpreting the percentages, but if you had told me last year this time we'd have a one in three chance of winning a 16th conference game to finish 16-2, I'd have asked you what you are smoking (and yes I know that if you have a 40% chance of winning game one and 30% chance of winning game two, that the chance of winning both is only 12%, but you know what I mean...)
There is a principle which is a bar against all information, which is proof against all arguments and which can not fail to keep a man in everlasting ignorance-that principle is contempt prior to investigation.
--HERBERT SPENCER
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Posted: 1/7/2013 7:02 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Through games of Sunday (RPI live not working for me rpi not updated) :
RPI (not updated - liverpi not working)#15
Sagarin : #27
Pomeroy #36 (UNC-CHeat at #38 - UVA now at #27)
GO PACK!!! BEAT GTECH!!!!!!!!
Wow - a few more wins like that and our Pomeroy will be in the 40s! :)
Last edited 1/7/2013 8:49 AM by adamant
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Posted: 1/7/2013 1:20 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
live rpi now working - updated this am - still at #16 RPI.
GO PACK!!! BEAT GTech!!!
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Posted: 1/7/2013 1:41 PM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
The absurd weakness of the ACC is going to work against us this season in the power ratings.
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Posted: 1/8/2013 11:54 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
dsd27205 wrote: The absurd weakness of the ACC is going to work against us this season in the power ratings. The ACC is projected as the 4th best conference this year per RPI. Behind Big 10, Big East and Mountain West (predicting 5 top 25 RPI teams) |
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Posted: 1/9/2013 10:30 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
They predict us having 1 loss to a team with an expected RPI over 100. That means it is either GT (107), Clemson (134), VT (144), BC (150) or Wake (156). So, do you think they are predicting a road loss to Clemson or GT. Because we sure as hell aint losing to Wake....and not losing to VT or BC at home.
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Posted: 1/9/2013 10:35 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
chicwolf67 wrote:
dsd27205 wrote: The absurd weakness of the ACC is going to work against us this season in the power ratings.
The ACC is projected as the 4th best conference this year per RPI. Behind Big 10, Big East and Mountain West (predicting 5 top 25 RPI teams) That's pretty weak to me. Back in the day there weren't half of the teams in the ACC over 100 in RPI. |
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Posted: 1/9/2013 10:50 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
LOL at a 27% chance to win @ home vs Duke. If anything it should be reversed, also no way that Duke is -7 in this game. Duke will probably be without Kelly which already gives them an excuse for the loss.
I predict Vegas makes State the favorite (-3ish) and State goes to easily cover. State has a better starting 5 as it is and now without Kelly its clear that State > Duke.
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Posted: 1/10/2013 7:52 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Through games of Wednesday 1/9/2013 :
RPI #13 (Duke #1)
Sagarin #28 (Duke #1)
Pomeroy #33 (Duke #2, UNC-CHeat at #45 and UVA - after losing to Wake - at #31????)
Pomeroy has looked kinda strange this year - usually it is very close to the Sagarin by this time in the season with the RPI slowly getting closer to both by the end of the season.
GO PACK!!! BEAT DUKE!!!!!!!!!
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Posted: 1/10/2013 2:25 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
What's really weird is that RPI is now predicting 8-8 from here on out. They are predicting L's at Wake, Virginia, GT, FSU, Duke, Carolina and Maryland along with an L at home to Duke this weekend. I find that hard to believe. Road games are tough but we lose every one from here on out except Clemson? Nah.
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Posted: 1/11/2013 7:04 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Through Thursday 1-11-2013 games :
RPI #14 (Miami up to #7) - this still predicts us to go 11-7 ACC - ie 9-7 from here on out. Hmm
Pomeroy #34 (Miami up to #18 after beating now #52 UNC-CHeat, UVA still at #31???)
Sagarin #28
Our SOS will jump just playing Duke Saturday - if we win all 3 ratings will jump.
GO PACK!!! BEAT DUKE!!!!!!!!
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Posted: 1/11/2013 8:09 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Yep, RPI should be back in the top 10 after Saturday's game  |
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Posted: 1/11/2013 11:31 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
pack31 wrote: Yep, RPI should be back in the top 10 after Saturday's game I like the positive thoughts ! (Kelly's Heroes lame reference!) GO PACK!!! |
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Posted: 1/11/2013 12:08 PM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
Yesterday: howlaway wrote: What's really weird is that RPI is now predicting 8-8 from here on out. They are predicting L's at Wake, Virginia, GT, FSU, Duke, Carolina and Maryland along with an L at home to Duke this weekend. I find that hard to believe. Road games are tough but we lose every one from here on out except Clemson? Nah. Today: adamant wrote:
RPI #14 (Miami up to #7) - this still predicts us to go 11-7 ACC - ie 9-7 from here on out. Hmm
One extra win now - perhaps from a certain team in light blue that lost last night? |
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- DubPack
- Bench Warmer
- 1898 posts this site
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Posted: 1/13/2013 8:37 AM
Re: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
RPI up to #11
Duke still at #1
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Posted: 1/13/2013 8:55 AM
RE: Yearly RPI Sagarin Pomeroy Ratings Thread
--------------------------------------------- --- WolfStock wrote: Yesterday: howlaway wrote: What's really weird is that RPI is now predicting 8-8 from here on out. They are predicting L's at Wake, Virginia, GT, FSU, Duke, Carolina and Maryland along with an L at home to Duke this weekend. I find that hard to believe. Road games are tough but we lose every one from here on out except Clemson? Nah. Today: adamant wrote:
RPI #14 (Miami up to #7) - this still predicts us to go 11-7 ACC - ie 9-7 from here on out. Hmm
One extra win now - perhaps from a certain team in light blue that lost last night? --------------------------------------------- RPI is even more pessimistic than our fan base If you can't spot the idiot in your office, you are the idiot in your office - SlackZac
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