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Bowl Projections

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Posted: 11/10/2012 6:42 PM

Bowl Projections 


Where/who are we looking at? I've heard West Virginia as a likely opponent which frightens me greatly.
 
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Posted: 11/10/2012 7:55 PM

RE: Bowl Projections 


i'd love to see the gophers play wvu. horrible defense and i'd love to see our defense go up against geno smith.
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Posted: 11/10/2012 8:18 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 


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Posted: 11/10/2012 11:34 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 


We should get a decent bowl bid considering both PSU and OSU are ineligible to go to bowls.  Iowa has to win out to make a bowl which seems unlikely against Nebraska and Michigan.

And really we could do no worse than the Meineke Car Care Bowl.

But there's an Outside chance at the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.

Side note, It's really friggin sad to see the corporate sponsorship names on these bowl games.  I mean seriously I liked it better when it was the Gator Bowl not the TaxSlayer.com Gator bowl.  Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Russell Athletic Bowl, AdvoCare V100 Independence bowl.  And the list goes on and on and on.  Just come up with a different name you don't need your sponsorship in the name.  I want it to be the Rose Bowl, not the Rose Bowl presented by Vizio.  I want it to be the Sugar Bowl not the Allstate Sugar Bowl.

Rant over.

So anyways if we were to go up against a team like WVU or TCU, I think it'd be a good match up.  Also there's a rematch possibility to go up against Iowa State if they win out over KU and WVU get to 7-5.  And also TTU could be in the mix
Shhh..... My Common Sense is Tingling. 
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Posted: 11/11/2012 8:25 AM

Re: Bowl Projections 



Jonas2 wrote: We should get a decent bowl bid considering both PSU and OSU are ineligible to go to bowls.  Iowa has to win out to make a bowl which seems unlikely against Nebraska and Michigan.

Besides Iowa, one of Purdue and Indiana (more likely Purdue) could get to bowl-eligible. Not sure if either would be slotted higher than the Gophers but their records will be close enough that a bowl could take their pick.

OTOH, if MSU loses to Northwestern, the Gophers could prevent the Spartans from getting bowl-eligible.

Probably likely we end up in Meineke Bowl in Houston against Big 12. I'm a TCU alum and a Gopher season ticket holder so I've seen all of both teams games. I don't think the Gophers want to face the Frogs, although Jerry and Coach Patterson are best friends so it would be cool.

WVU may be a better matchup but the defense will have to play lights out...
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Posted: 11/11/2012 8:48 AM

Re: Bowl Projections 



Scoop1953 wrote:
Jonas2 wrote: We should get a decent bowl bid considering both PSU and OSU are ineligible to go to bowls.  Iowa has to win out to make a bowl which seems unlikely against Nebraska and Michigan.

Besides Iowa, one of Purdue and Indiana (more likely Purdue) could get to bowl-eligible. Not sure if either would be slotted higher than the Gophers but their records will be close enough that a bowl could take their pick.

I highly doubt A bowl would take Purdue over the Gophers given the Gophers have a head to head win over Purdue.  Indiana could possibly over take the gophers if we finish 6-6 and indiana wins out, IU would have more big ten wins.  But right now it looks like only purdue will have a shot at bowl eligibility since indiana faces PSU next week.
Shhh..... My Common Sense is Tingling. 
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Posted: 11/11/2012 9:28 AM

Re: Bowl Projections 


It's a good year to go bowling. It's possible that only five B10 team's will qualify which would move us up in where we end up playing. Nebraska, Michigan, Wisconsin, Northwestern and Minnesota are bowling, four teams still have a chance, but they're far from a lock on qualifying.

Michigan State (5-5 Remaining games: vs. Northwestern, at Gophers)
Purdue (4-6; at Illinois, vs. Indiana)
Indiana (4-6; at Penn State, at Purdue)
Iowa (4-6; at Michigan, vs. Nebraska)

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Posted: 11/11/2012 9:37 AM

Re: Bowl Projections 


Here's the pick order (according to Wikipedia).

The Big Ten Conference has eight bowl tie-ins.[5]

  • #1 Bowl Championship Series. The winner of the Big Ten Championship Game gains an automatic berth to a BCS bowl game, preferentially the Rose Bowl.
  • #2 The Capital One Bowl receives the second choice from the Big Ten, but must choose from remaining teams with the best overall record, or within one win of the best overall record. Starting in 2011, it may choose to take the runner up of the Big Ten Championship Game should its record be better than the league champion.
  • #3 The Outback Bowl receives the third choice of Big Ten teams.
  • #4 The Gator Bowl receives the fourth choice of Big Ten teams.
  • #5 The Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl receives the fifth choice of Big Ten teams (and 4th Big 12 team)
  • #6 The Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas receives the sixth choice of Big Ten teams (and 6th Big 12 team).
  • #7 The Heart of Dallas Bowl receives the seventh choice from the Big Ten (and 8th Big 12 team).
  • #8 The Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl will take the eighth choice from the Big Ten; if no remaining teams are available, the bowl will choose a Sun Belt team.
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Posted: 11/11/2012 8:32 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 


Pretty much anything besides the Little Caesar's Bowl is considered a success to me at this point. Not to be picky, but we've been to the one in Tempe a few times, so I'd like to see us avoid that one, too.

A Proud Minnesotan to the day I die

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Posted: 11/12/2012 12:52 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 


Penn State and Ohio State are ineligible so that brings us to a max of 10
Illinois - has a max of 4 wins so that brings us to 9.
Iowa - has Michigan in the Big House and Nebraska at home left and they need to win two to be bowl eligible so that puts as at a max of 8 barring some magic out of Iowa. I'd give them less than 5% chance of winning their last two. If they do it they'd get picked ahead of us unless we win one or both of our last two games
Indiana - has @Penn State and @Purdue left. I'd put there odds of winning both at less than 10% but that may be generous. We would likely get picked ahead of them even if they pulled it off IMO so that leaves us with 7.
Michigan State has two left. Northwestern at home and us on the road. They need to win one of two to be bowl eligible. If they lose to NU and beat us they'll get picked ahead of us. If they win both they definately get picked ahead of us. If they beat NU and lose to us we get picked ahead of them. If they lose both they don't go bowling.
Wisconsin - already at 7. beat us head to head (banghead) We would have to win out (not very likely at all) and they would have to lose out (not very likely) for us to pass them.
Northwestern - has MSU on the road and Illinois at home left. They should win one or both which means even if we win out they get picked ahead of us.'
Michigan - hosts Iowa then plays @tOSU in what is there de facto bowl game as they're ineligible. They likely beat Iowa and lose to tOSU which means they get picked ahead of us no matter what.
Nebraska - has us at home and plays @ Iowa to end the year. They should win both and have a good shot at repping the BT in the Rose Bowl unless they lose to becky in the BT Championship who they already beat and is now without Stave.

I'd say there is no chance we play in Detroit. The Heart of Dallas Bowl is far more likely which would pin us against the #8 Big 12 team which is currently Iowa State though they need either beat Kansas @Kansas or beat WVU at home to get to 6. WVU is currently #7 in the Big 12. They host OU, play @ ISU and host kansas to end there season. They need to win one more to be bowl eligible. I would much rather face ISU than WVU even though WVU has now dropped 4 straight.
 
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Posted: 11/12/2012 2:59 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 



Frod0 wrote: Penn State and Ohio State are ineligible so that brings us to a max of 10
Illinois - has a max of 4 wins so that brings us to 9.
Iowa - has Michigan in the Big House and Nebraska at home left and they need to win two to be bowl eligible so that puts as at a max of 8 barring some magic out of Iowa. I'd give them less than 5% chance of winning their last two. If they do it they'd get picked ahead of us unless we win one or both of our last two games
Indiana - has @Penn State and @Purdue left. I'd put there odds of winning both at less than 10% but that may be generous. We would likely get picked ahead of them even if they pulled it off IMO so that leaves us with 7.
Michigan State has two left. Northwestern at home and us on the road. They need to win one of two to be bowl eligible. If they lose to NU and beat us they'll get picked ahead of us. If they win both they definately get picked ahead of us. If they beat NU and lose to us we get picked ahead of them. If they lose both they don't go bowling.
Wisconsin - already at 7. beat us head to head (banghead) We would have to win out (not very likely at all) and they would have to lose out (not very likely) for us to pass them.
Northwestern - has MSU on the road and Illinois at home left. They should win one or both which means even if we win out they get picked ahead of us.'
Michigan - hosts Iowa then plays @tOSU in what is there de facto bowl game as they're ineligible. They likely beat Iowa and lose to tOSU which means they get picked ahead of us no matter what.
Nebraska - has us at home and plays @ Iowa to end the year. They should win both and have a good shot at repping the BT in the Rose Bowl unless they lose to becky in the BT Championship who they already beat and is now without Stave.

I'd say there is no chance we play in Detroit. The Heart of Dallas Bowl is far more likely which would pin us against the #8 Big 12 team which is currently Iowa State though they need either beat Kansas @Kansas or beat WVU at home to get to 6. WVU is currently #7 in the Big 12. They host OU, play @ ISU and host kansas to end there season. They need to win one more to be bowl eligible. I would much rather face ISU than WVU even though WVU has now dropped 4 straight.

You missed Purdue. Decent chance they win out (@Illinois, Indiana). Do they get picked ahead of us?

Iowa not likely to make it.

I bet MSU gets picked over us even if we beat them. 

Rose/CapOne/Outback still yet to be decided...but I'd guess Nebraska - Rose, Michigan - Cap One, Wisky - Outback.  NU or MSU probably can only get up into these games by winning out and Wisky losing out (2 games + championship) to put them at 7-6.  8-5 Wisky probably gets Outback over 7-5 MSU and maybe even over a 9-3 NU team. 

I think Gator may take winner of MSU vs. NU.  Possibly even if we beat MSU to put them at 6-6, though that would be more difficult to still take them over a 8-4 NU team.

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl will take whoever is left of MSU and NU.  If MSU does lose out to us and NU, then you'd think we'd be in this spot.  Though don't be surprised if they still select any other BIG team that gets eligible (Purdue, Indiana, Iowa) over us even though we finished ahead.  I don't think they want us back right now, nor I don't know if we even really want to go there again anyway.

Meineke Car Care Bowl most likely will have to decide between us and Purdue/Ind/Iowa.  It will be Iowa if they win out but that is unlikely to happen.  I'm not so sure they wouldn't pick Purdue/Indiana over us.  Could go either way.  Obviously if neither of these other 3 teams get eligible, this is most likely destination for us.

Heart of Dallas Bowl we could be here if Iowa pulls off 2 upsets, or if Purdue/Ind is selected ahead of us in the Meineke Car Care bowl. 

Pizza Bowl - very unlikely to happen, but still long shot if we lose out and Iowa and Purdue both win out and get selected ahead of us, which would really suck 

 

Last edited 11/12/2012 3:02 PM by AShreve20

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Posted: 11/12/2012 3:13 PM

RE: Bowl Projections 


also...I don't think there will be an eligible Big 12 team for the Heart of Dallas Bowl. Big 12 #8 would likely be ISU, but at this time Big 12 seems pretty likely to send at-large team to BCS. That will bump everyone else up one slot and I doubt Baylor will win 2 of its last 3. Then I'm not really sure who would get selected in this spot as opponent
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Posted: 11/12/2012 3:52 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 



AShreve20 wrote:
 

You missed Purdue. Decent chance they win out (@Illinois, Indiana). Do they get picked ahead of us?


I doubt it. We beat up on them and it's not like their fanbase is known for traveling like it's their religion.

A Proud Minnesotan to the day I die

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Posted: 11/12/2012 6:12 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 



beast10 wrote:
AShreve20 wrote:
 

You missed Purdue. Decent chance they win out (@Illinois, Indiana). Do they get picked ahead of us?


I doubt it. We beat up on them and it's not like their fanbase is known for traveling like it's their religion.
Oops. I do think they have a shot to get to 6 though I think they probably lose one maybe both. No I don't think they get picked ahead of us though. They don't travel that well to start with and they all hate there coach and don't really care about this season. Plus we smoked them head to head.
 
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Posted: 11/12/2012 6:23 PM

Re: Bowl Projections 



Frod0 wrote: Where/who are we looking at? I've heard West Virginia as a likely opponent which frightens me greatly.
Houston here we come.  Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas VS West Virginia
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Posted: 11/13/2012 10:05 AM

RE: Bowl Projections 


Gator Bowl Baby!!!

We lose to Nebraska and beat MSU to finish 7-5

MSU also loses to Northwestern this week making them bowl ineligible.

Nebraska wins out and goes to Rose bowl

Michigan wins out, knocking Iowa out of bowl contention and upsets tOSU to finish 9-3.

Oregon Wins out and USC beats UCLA then loses to Notre Dame, so Pac-12 doesn't have a team better than 9-3

Clemson gets upset by NCSU and follows that up with loss to S. Carolina to finish 9-3, Or OU and Texas falter down the stretch to each finish 8-4.

Michigan will jump up in the BCS standings after winning next 2 games making them an attractive option at 9-3 (losses to Neb, Bama and ND).

If both Texas and OU crap out and finish 8-4, Michigan will face SEC at-large team in Fiesta.

If Clemson falls in next 2, Michigan will face SEC champ in Sugar.

And just maybe, even if Clemson loses only their final game to South Carolina to finish 10-2, the Sugar still may like Michigan better at 9-3 as an at-large option.

Northwestern is bumped up to Capitol One Bowl after finishing 9-3

After losing out (had to add this one last prediction here) Wisky plays in Outback at 7-6

Gophers go to Gator to face 9-3 Missippi State. Brewster to worried about Chili getting hot and his WR core fumbles 4 times leading to Gophers victory on NYD.
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Posted: 11/13/2012 11:33 AM

RE: Bowl Projections 



10/10. Would read again.
---------------------------------------------
--- AShreve20 wrote:

Gator Bowl Baby!!!

We lose to Nebraska and beat MSU to finish 7-5

MSU also loses to Northwestern this week making them bowl ineligible.

Nebraska wins out and goes to Rose bowl

Michigan wins out, knocking Iowa out of bowl contention and upsets tOSU to finish 9-3.

Oregon Wins out and USC beats UCLA then loses to Notre Dame, so Pac-12 doesn't have a team better than 9-3

Clemson gets upset by NCSU and follows that up with loss to S. Carolina to finish 9-3, Or OU and Texas falter down the stretch to each finish 8-4.

Michigan will jump up in the BCS standings after winning next 2 games making them an attractive option at 9-3 (losses to Neb, Bama and ND).

If both Texas and OU crap out and finish 8-4, Michigan will face SEC at-large team in Fiesta.

If Clemson falls in next 2, Michigan will face SEC champ in Sugar.

And just maybe, even if Clemson loses only their final game to South Carolina to finish 10-2, the Sugar still may like Michigan better at 9-3 as an at-large option.

Northwestern is bumped up to Capitol One Bowl after finishing 9-3

After losing out (had to add this one last prediction here) Wisky plays in Outback at 7-6

Gophers go to Gator to face 9-3 Missippi State. Brewster to worried about Chili getting hot and his WR core fumbles 4 times leading to Gophers victory on NYD.

---------------------------------------------
 
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Posted: 11/13/2012 4:40 PM

RE: Bowl Projections 



AShreve20 wrote: Gator Bowl Baby!!!

We lose to Nebraska and beat MSU to finish 7-5

MSU also loses to Northwestern this week making them bowl ineligible.

Nebraska wins out and goes to Rose bowl

Michigan wins out, knocking Iowa out of bowl contention and upsets tOSU to finish 9-3.

Oregon Wins out and USC beats UCLA then loses to Notre Dame, so Pac-12 doesn't have a team better than 9-3

Clemson gets upset by NCSU and follows that up with loss to S. Carolina to finish 9-3, Or OU and Texas falter down the stretch to each finish 8-4.

Michigan will jump up in the BCS standings after winning next 2 games making them an attractive option at 9-3 (losses to Neb, Bama and ND).

If both Texas and OU crap out and finish 8-4, Michigan will face SEC at-large team in Fiesta.

If Clemson falls in next 2, Michigan will face SEC champ in Sugar.

And just maybe, even if Clemson loses only their final game to South Carolina to finish 10-2, the Sugar still may like Michigan better at 9-3 as an at-large option.

Northwestern is bumped up to Capitol One Bowl after finishing 9-3

After losing out (had to add this one last prediction here) Wisky plays in Outback at 7-6

Gophers go to Gator to face 9-3 Missippi State. Brewster to worried about Chili getting hot and his WR core fumbles 4 times leading to Gophers victory on NYD.
If this all happens, I'm taking you to Vegas
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Posted: 11/13/2012 5:04 PM

RE: Bowl Projections 



7Route wrote:
AShreve20 wrote: Gator Bowl Baby!!!

We lose to Nebraska and beat MSU to finish 7-5

MSU also loses to Northwestern this week making them bowl ineligible.

Nebraska wins out and goes to Rose bowl

Michigan wins out, knocking Iowa out of bowl contention and upsets tOSU to finish 9-3.

Oregon Wins out and USC beats UCLA then loses to Notre Dame, so Pac-12 doesn't have a team better than 9-3

Clemson gets upset by NCSU and follows that up with loss to S. Carolina to finish 9-3, Or OU and Texas falter down the stretch to each finish 8-4.

Michigan will jump up in the BCS standings after winning next 2 games making them an attractive option at 9-3 (losses to Neb, Bama and ND).

If both Texas and OU crap out and finish 8-4, Michigan will face SEC at-large team in Fiesta.

If Clemson falls in next 2, Michigan will face SEC champ in Sugar.

And just maybe, even if Clemson loses only their final game to South Carolina to finish 10-2, the Sugar still may like Michigan better at 9-3 as an at-large option.

Northwestern is bumped up to Capitol One Bowl after finishing 9-3

After losing out (had to add this one last prediction here) Wisky plays in Outback at 7-6

Gophers go to Gator to face 9-3 Missippi State. Brewster to worried about Chili getting hot and his WR core fumbles 4 times leading to Gophers victory on NYD.
If this all happens, I'm taking you to Vegas
We know it will all happen if Ashreve remembers to set his DVR.
Shhh..... My Common Sense is Tingling. 
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Posted: 11/13/2012 9:39 PM

RE: Bowl Projections 



AShreve20 wrote: Gator Bowl Baby!!!

We lose to Nebraska and beat MSU to finish 7-5

MSU also loses to Northwestern this week making them bowl ineligible.

Nebraska wins out and goes to Rose bowl

Michigan wins out, knocking Iowa out of bowl contention and upsets tOSU to finish 9-3.

Oregon Wins out and USC beats UCLA then loses to Notre Dame, so Pac-12 doesn't have a team better than 9-3

Clemson gets upset by NCSU and follows that up with loss to S. Carolina to finish 9-3, Or OU and Texas falter down the stretch to each finish 8-4.

Michigan will jump up in the BCS standings after winning next 2 games making them an attractive option at 9-3 (losses to Neb, Bama and ND).

If both Texas and OU crap out and finish 8-4, Michigan will face SEC at-large team in Fiesta.

If Clemson falls in next 2, Michigan will face SEC champ in Sugar.

And just maybe, even if Clemson loses only their final game to South Carolina to finish 10-2, the Sugar still may like Michigan better at 9-3 as an at-large option.

Northwestern is bumped up to Capitol One Bowl after finishing 9-3

After losing out (had to add this one last prediction here) Wisky plays in Outback at 7-6

Gophers go to Gator to face 9-3 Missippi State. Brewster to worried about Chili getting hot and his WR core fumbles 4 times leading to Gophers victory on NYD.
You know, I have 2 tests, a presentation, and a paper due this week. Since it seems like you have some extra time, any interest in helping a college kid out?

A Proud Minnesotan to the day I die

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