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Re: FLACCO

Posted: 1/21/2013 3:20 PM

Re: FLACCO 



AudieTheGreat wrote:
redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

The line dropped because the Sharps pounded it right out the gate

It stayed high because Jo Blow always bets the fave

...and FTR...7.5 - 9.5 is no man's land and there is virtually no difference in betting land, no advantage to be had

..and anyone here who would have been in Vegas yesterday would more than likely thrown a few bucks on the ML and cashed big on the Crows if they saw the odds which were likely around 5 or 6 -1, I'd think
Hmm...6-1 odds that the Rats win? I figured it'd be 2-1 or 3-1.
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Posted: 1/21/2013 6:55 PM

Re: FLACCO 



kosartoslaughter wrote:
AudieTheGreat wrote:
redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

The line dropped because the Sharps pounded it right out the gate

It stayed high because Jo Blow always bets the fave

...and FTR...7.5 - 9.5 is no man's land and there is virtually no difference in betting land, no advantage to be had

..and anyone here who would have been in Vegas yesterday would more than likely thrown a few bucks on the ML and cashed big on the Crows if they saw the odds which were likely around 5 or 6 -1, I'd think
Hmm...6-1 odds that the Rats win? I figured it'd be 2-1 or 3-1.

I look at a cross section of online books via Oddschecker.

When the game opened, the moneyline was 3.5 to 1 on the Ravens or 1 to 4.5 on the Pats.  Essentially, the weighted average of dollars, juice removed had the Pats as a 4-1 favorite, the Ravens at 20% chance to win.

Over the next few days, the odds shortened on the Ravens as they dropped from 9.5 point dogs to 8 (most books) when the game began.  I didn't check the money line again at that point, but the Ravens went off with implied odds in the low 20% range which means 3-1 is approximately right in terms of the juiced moneyline available at game time.
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