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Re: FLACCO

  • redright
  • Faithful Best Friend
  • 12943 posts this site

Posted: 1/20/2013 10:53 PM

Re: FLACCO 




---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL
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Posted: 1/20/2013 11:08 PM

Re: FLACCO 


No worries my man. We ALL have the classics we own. Offer enough takes we all get our Hollywood stars on the PF walk of shame. I have a whole personal cul de sac. Lol
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Posted: 1/21/2013 9:52 AM

Re: FLACCO 



redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

Thanks for the credit red.
It's nice to be recognized once in a while.
cool
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  • redright
  • Faithful Best Friend
  • 12943 posts this site

Posted: 1/21/2013 10:40 AM

Re: FLACCO 




---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

No worries my man. We ALL have the classics we own. Offer enough takes we all get our Hollywood stars on the PF walk of shame. I have a whole personal cul de sac. Lol

---------------------------------------------

Many thanks, Nas

I knew the thought to be out of the box. It required multiple happenings. Vegas had to be right in a double digit Pats win when all pointed to a three point spread. Money was lopsided favoring the Ravens. Vegas usually wins That could only happen if Flacco had a bad game. Joe wanting big money after a flop and the team needing to replace Ray, Reed, Birk, Boldin and others with a tight CAP, made it possible.

Flacco won that game. Now it is not happening., no matter what Hoover says.
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Posted: 1/21/2013 10:55 AM

Re: FLACCO 



redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

The line dropped because the Sharps pounded it right out the gate

It stayed high because Jo Blow always bets the fave

...and FTR...7.5 - 9.5 is no man's land and there is virtually no difference in betting land, no advantage to be had

..and anyone here who would have been in Vegas yesterday would more than likely thrown a few bucks on the ML and cashed big on the Crows if they saw the odds which were likely around 5 or 6 -1, I'd think

I'm being trolled by a Moderator...is that priceless, or what?

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Posted: 1/21/2013 3:14 PM

Re: FLACCO 



redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

No worries my man. We ALL have the classics we own. Offer enough takes we all get our Hollywood stars on the PF walk of shame. I have a whole personal cul de sac. Lol

---------------------------------------------

Many thanks, Nas

I knew the thought to be out of the box. It required multiple happenings. Vegas had to be right in a double digit Pats win when all pointed to a three point spread. Money was lopsided favoring the Ravens. Vegas usually wins That could only happen if Flacco had a bad game. Joe wanting big money after a flop and the team needing to replace Ray, Reed, Birk, Boldin and others with a tight CAP, made it possible.

Flacco won that game. Now it is not happening., no matter what Hoover says.

Fans knew what was gonna happen if the juice was with Baltimore.

They know media trends (Harbaugh/Harbaugh) and saw the Pats struggled past Houston. Houston scored 28 on that D. This is one of the biggest upsets though, objectively, in AFC title game history.

Last edited 1/21/2013 3:14 PM by kosartoslaughter

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Posted: 1/21/2013 3:20 PM

Re: FLACCO 



AudieTheGreat wrote:
redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

The line dropped because the Sharps pounded it right out the gate

It stayed high because Jo Blow always bets the fave

...and FTR...7.5 - 9.5 is no man's land and there is virtually no difference in betting land, no advantage to be had

..and anyone here who would have been in Vegas yesterday would more than likely thrown a few bucks on the ML and cashed big on the Crows if they saw the odds which were likely around 5 or 6 -1, I'd think
Hmm...6-1 odds that the Rats win? I figured it'd be 2-1 or 3-1.
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Posted: 1/21/2013 6:55 PM

Re: FLACCO 



kosartoslaughter wrote:
AudieTheGreat wrote:
redright wrote:

---------------------------------------------
--- Nasdaq wrote:

Man, I can't wait till we have Flacco in a couple months!!

(red right this may be ur "Kelly Unitas" & "no way Chris Palmer gets fired" post. ;-). )

---------------------------------------------

Flacco must be paid. Raven for life.

Vegas was wrong.

Lumpy was right.

I was wrong. I saw the game as 3 pt Vegas opened at 10. 3/4 of the bets were Ravens and the points. Line did drop to 8 but the betting stayed on the ravens.
Guess we still will need a Q B.

LOL

The line dropped because the Sharps pounded it right out the gate

It stayed high because Jo Blow always bets the fave

...and FTR...7.5 - 9.5 is no man's land and there is virtually no difference in betting land, no advantage to be had

..and anyone here who would have been in Vegas yesterday would more than likely thrown a few bucks on the ML and cashed big on the Crows if they saw the odds which were likely around 5 or 6 -1, I'd think
Hmm...6-1 odds that the Rats win? I figured it'd be 2-1 or 3-1.

I look at a cross section of online books via Oddschecker.

When the game opened, the moneyline was 3.5 to 1 on the Ravens or 1 to 4.5 on the Pats.  Essentially, the weighted average of dollars, juice removed had the Pats as a 4-1 favorite, the Ravens at 20% chance to win.

Over the next few days, the odds shortened on the Ravens as they dropped from 9.5 point dogs to 8 (most books) when the game began.  I didn't check the money line again at that point, but the Ravens went off with implied odds in the low 20% range which means 3-1 is approximately right in terms of the juiced moneyline available at game time.
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