From ESPN:

Carolina finally played well last week and they will need to not only run the ball very well, but also force multiple Drew Brees interceptions. If the Panthers RBs average over 6 yards per carry and intercept Drew Brees 2 or more times the Panthers have a 50 percent chance of winning. However, if the Panthers run for under 125 yards they have just an 8 percent chance of beating the Saints. Drew Brees has a simulation passer rating of over 105 and the running game is averaging over 130 yards rushing.

Found an interesting simulation site.  You put conditions that might happen and it predicts the outcome of the game based on if these conditions are all met.  If all these conditions are met, it predicts the Panthers win 41- 27.  Hey, it could happen!

Jake Delhomme: 150 passing yards or less, 1 or fewer interceptions

DeAngelo Williams: 99 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Jonathan Stewart: 75 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Carolina defense: 3 or more sacks, 3 or more turnovers forced

Drew Brees: 299 or more passing yards, 2 or more passing TDs, 2 or more interceptions

With these conditions (these are actually wholly possible) the Panthers win 33-32:

Delhomme throws 2 or more interceptions

Williams runs for 100 or more yards and gets 1 or more TDs

Stewart runs for 50 or more yards and gets 1 or more TDs

CAR defense gets 2 or more sacks and 2 or more turnovers

This is fun

http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-...0d0/Buy-or-Sell

Jason LaCanfora of NFL.com picks the Panthers to upset the Saints!

Look at this, more people picking the Panthers to upset...I'm not saying we do it, but IF we do, this could be what turns this season around.  I believe this game defines the rest of the season for us.  We go into New Orleans and upset the #1 team in the country, we might have a shot at a wildcard.  We go in and play them tough, but lose, we could easily have a 8-8ish record.  We go in and get destroyed, hello 4-12 or 5-11 record.

Carolina at New Orleans

Yea, if we are to have a shot, Jake has to be in his TOP form.  Better than he's played this year.  IF he can play smart, not forcing throws, not making bad decisions, AND our playcalling is as good or better than last game, we have a chance.  Otherwise, 9 in the box will stop even Double Trouble.

JawnyBlaze wrote:

Found an interesting simulation site.  You put conditions that might happen and it predicts the outcome of the game based on if these conditions are all met.  If all these conditions are met, it predicts the Panthers win 41- 27.  Hey, it could happen!

 

Jake Delhomme: 150 passing yards or less, 1 or fewer interceptions

DeAngelo Williams: 99 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Jonathan Stewart: 75 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Carolina defense: 3 or more sacks, 3 or more turnovers forced

 

Drew Brees: 299 or more passing yards, 2 or more passing TDs, 2 or more interceptions

 

Do you have a link to the sim site?

Fox is 7-0 at the dome. And Jake has never lost a start, including his college and NFL career, at the dome.

I really think this streak can continue. We have a shot

-----------------------  Historically, for the past four years the panthers have been the saints kryptonite going 7-1 against the saints in that time span.   The only thing that has changed since last year is the saints have a better defense.  The offense has the same cast of characters.  Traditionally, this matchup has never been a low scoring affair by both teams, only 7/28 times has one team held the other to under 10 points.  Also, only one time has a team in this match scored more than 40 points and that was in 2000 when the Panthers beat the Saints 45-13 at New Orleans.  That being said if the game becomes a blow out I estimate a score of 30-14.  If the game is close I estimate a score of 21-27.

----------------------- As far as the game goes I think the game plan for the panthers is simple.  Jake has to be mistake free or close to it, the running game needs to pound the ball and get substantial yardage and the defense needs to put pressure on Dree Brees.  For the saints, Drew Brees needs to be Drew Brees.

It's an ESPN Insider thing.  If you have insider, just go to the Pregame pages about this game and you should find it.  I don't remember exactly how to get there, I was just digging around at ESPN.

UNCUSMC2005 wrote:

 

JawnyBlaze wrote:

Found an interesting simulation site.  You put conditions that might happen and it predicts the outcome of the game based on if these conditions are all met.  If all these conditions are met, it predicts the Panthers win 41- 27.  Hey, it could happen!

 

Jake Delhomme: 150 passing yards or less, 1 or fewer interceptions

DeAngelo Williams: 99 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Jonathan Stewart: 75 or more rushing yards, 1 or more rushing TD

Carolina defense: 3 or more sacks, 3 or more turnovers forced

 

Drew Brees: 299 or more passing yards, 2 or more passing TDs, 2 or more interceptions

Do you have a link to the sim site?

I win will certianly put us back in the playoff conversation (damn that loss to the Bills is a real killer!).  Obviously we have to run the ball to keep their offense off the field.  But we're not going to just smash it down everyone's mouth.  Sooner or later we're going to have to hit some passes to our WRs.

Our D has improved, but against less than stellar opponents.  We knock Breeze done some and get some turnovers, there's a chance.  But I think they are the best team in the league and we are below average right now, but getting better.  Best we can hope for is to have a chance with the last possesion.

Go Cats!

Don't come down on me to hard, we have got to have a duplicate performance from last week to beat NO.  Can we do it?  Maybe.  I will say we are the type of team to beat them though...pound the rock, keep their offense off of the field and win the turnover battle and it may come out in our favor.

saintsational wrote: Yep yall have owned us, that's for sure and we've been playing sloppy the last few weeks. We can ill afford to give yall the short field or short down and distances. In order for us to win we have to force yall into a shoot out I believe. I don't think Jake can beat us but your 2 headed Monster sure can.

I stated elsewhere that we seem to be a traveling team, and yet the neworleansaints come to Charlotte and it is a different scenario. I still feel a likely loss due to jakedelhomme's fragile physical nature and lack of a capable back up!