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Season Analysis

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Posted: 07/19/2013 9:22 AM

Season Analysis 


It's dead around here so I thought I would try to start some discussion on how we see the season play out for the entire NFL.

Personally I think that the 49ers will struggle with a superbowl hangover and JUST make the playoffs with a wildcard shot, as the SEAHAWKS make a push for that division.

I see the Packers, Broncos, as the big two teams to look out for, and right now I'm liking the CHIEFS to come back from obscurity and cause some FITS around these boards next season. I am an Alex Smith fan, and think that he was having an excellent season in SF before he got hurt.  He had a triple digit QB rating after about 150 throws, so that's not too bad.  He should be able to continue that kind of production in Kansas City behind a pretty good O-line now that they drafted a top OT, and retained Albert.  Plus they retained Bowe and have some targets to go along with a very very good running game.  

The Chargers have, I would argue, one of the TOUGHEST divisions to compete in this year.  We need to at least split our KC, and Broncos matchups IMO, if we have a chance at the playoffs.  I'm not counting on winning the division this year, but I think we will be good enough to make the playoffs.

Here are my predictions for the year:

NFC STANDINGS

Packers

Redskins

Seahawks

Falcons

WILDCARD

49ers

Saints

 
NFC Storylines:
1.  The Saints rebound a bit, but not to the dominant level they once were.
2.  The 49ers have a hangover.
3.  Young blood continues to blossom:  Wilson and RGIII (bounce back from injury).
4.  Cowboys continue to have a nice stadium, but crappy team.

AFC STANDINGS

Broncos

Patriots

Steelers

Texans

WILDCARD

Chiefs

Chargers

AFC Storylines:
1.  AFC West is the strongest division in the NFL, with Broncos, Chiefs, Chargers battling large.
2.  Chiefs knock off a divisional winner (like Texans) in wildcard weekend.
3.  Patriots ignore negative press and win their division.
4.  Peyton Manning love-fest by media continues.  Once again on Fathers day we see "the Manning Family" posted all over NFL.com (GAG!). 
5.  Chargers look like winners, but disappoint in the wildcard round.  Coach talks about "foundations of the future" after playoff loss.
6.  Ravens miss the playoffs as Flacco stumbles on his bloated contract.  Owners fume.

PLAYOFFS 

WILDCARD WEEKEND:

Steelers vs. Chargers Wildcard:  Steelers win

Texans vs. Chiefs Wildcard:  Chiefs win

Seahawks vs. Saints Wildcard:  Seahawks win

Falcons vs. 49ers Wildcard:  Falcons win

 

DIVISIONAL:

Broncos vs. Chiefs:  Broncos win

Patriots vs. Steelers:  Patriots win

Packers vs. Falcons:  Packers win

Redskins vs. Seahawks:  Redskins win

 

CONFERENCE:

Broncos vs. Patriots:  Broncos win

Packers vs. Redskins:  Packers win

 

SUPERBOWL:

Packers vs. Broncos:  Packers win

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Ford + Attaochu + Ingram + Freeney = Improved passing defense

Last edited 07/19/2013 9:27 AM by yantha

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Posted: 07/19/2013 11:10 AM

Re: Season Analysis 


Fun read Yantha! Thanks for that. Although, I would argue that the NFC West is going to be the toughest division this year with powerhouses in Seattle and San Fran....with the up and coming St Louis Rams and Cardinals.
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Posted: 07/19/2013 1:10 PM

Re: Season Analysis 


I just think that KC needed Alex Smith and Andy Reid to "turn the corner" with the talent they have.  They've been falling flat due to coaching IMO... and having a BAD quarterback.

Those two pieces will do to KC, what Luck did with Indy in one season IMO.

I'm not sold on St.Louis and Arizona, although I'm a big fan of Carson Palmer.  I hope that he can help to turn the Cardinals around.  He deserves it, after being stuck with the Bengals, and Raiders...  What a waste of talent.  

Imagine if he were drafted by the Niners.  He'd have a Super Bowl by now IMO.
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Ford + Attaochu + Ingram + Freeney = Improved passing defense
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Posted: 07/20/2013 9:13 PM

Re: Season Analysis 


EDIT: those tables were all screwed up so i got rid of them


Not sure if i got the games right here tho, but if thats how they are played this how i think it will end

NFC STANDINGS

49ers

Packers

Falcons

Washington

WILDCARD

Seattle

Chicago

 

AFC STANDINGS

Texans

Patriots

Steelers

Broncos

WILDCARD

Ravens

Chargers


PLAYOFFS 

WILDCARD WEEKEND:

Steelers vs. Chargers Wildcard:  Steelers win

Broncos vs. Ravens Wildcard:  Broncos win

Washington vs. Seahawks Wildcard:  Seahawks win

Falcons vs. Chicago Wildcard:  Falcons win

 

DIVISIONAL:

Houston vs. Broncos:  Broncos win

Patriots vs. Steelers:  Patriots win

Packers vs. Falcons:  Packers win

49ers vs. Seahawks:  Seahawks win

 

CONFERENCE:

Patriots vs. Broncos:  Broncos win

Packers vs. Seahawks:  Packers win

 

SUPERBOWL:

Packers vs. Broncos:  Packers win

Last edited 07/20/2013 9:18 PM by DownUnderBoltsFan

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Posted: 07/21/2013 1:22 PM

Re: Season Analysis 


Hey DownUnder.  Let's talk Bears.  What do you think about them?  I see you have them making the playoffs.
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Ford + Attaochu + Ingram + Freeney = Improved passing defense
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Posted: 07/21/2013 4:29 PM

Re: Season Analysis 


Alex smith a missing piece? Not sure i'd agree with that statement. IMO Smith is a step above Dilfer. He's great when asked to manage a situation but I dont see him as your normal take control or take the bull by the horrns guy. He'll make the occasional above average play but he's not a take charge I'll win this game myself if I have to guy. he'll have spirts but not consistant enough for me.
The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

Keyser Soze 
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Posted: 07/21/2013 6:06 PM

Re: Season Analysis 



Thisfrickinguy wrote: Alex smith a missing piece? Not sure i'd agree with that statement. IMO Smith is a step above Dilfer. He's great when asked to manage a situation but I dont see him as your normal take control or take the bull by the horrns guy. He'll make the occasional above average play but he's not a take charge I'll win this game myself if I have to guy. he'll have spirts but not consistant enough for me.
Andy Reid is A LOT like Norv Turner, he likes to throw deep and often...I cannot think of a worse OC for Alex Smith's skill set.

When Norv was the OC for the 49ers in 2006, Smith threw 16 TDs and 16 Ints..and people called it the best year of his career before 2011.  I expect more of the same this year with the Chiefs.

Last edited 07/21/2013 6:07 PM by syxwunine

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Posted: 07/22/2013 12:00 AM

Re: Season Analysis 


i used a season simulator before putting up my picks, and i was surprised that the Bears where there when i went through it. I have the vikings dropping this year and the Bears improving and sneaking in, they play Oakland, Cincinatti, Detroit x2, Jacksonville, St Louis, Vikings x2, Philly and Cleveland x2, there could be 8 wins right there. Without my homer glasses on, and in spite of my hate for Cutler, i think they have a better chance of taking a wildcard spot than we do
yantha wrote: Hey DownUnder.  Let's talk Bears.  What do you think about them?  I see you have them making the playoffs.
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Posted: 07/22/2013 9:32 AM

Re: Season Analysis 


Andy Reid is a "West Coast Offense" guy.  Not very much like Norv IMO... 

Norv used big receivers to out-jump DB's deep, and complicated routes that take time to develop.  Reid uses small recievers that are quick and will run more slants and quick outs.  The big plays come from slant and go routes, but the majority of the offense is built around the short throw...which Smith can throw just fine.  Couple that with the running game that should be there, and I don't think they will count on Smith to put the team on his shoulders and Win games for them too much.

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/...nse-chiefs-2013



syxwunine wrote:
Thisfrickinguy wrote: Alex smith a missing piece? Not sure i'd agree with that statement. IMO Smith is a step above Dilfer. He's great when asked to manage a situation but I dont see him as your normal take control or take the bull by the horrns guy. He'll make the occasional above average play but he's not a take charge I'll win this game myself if I have to guy. he'll have spirts but not consistant enough for me.
Andy Reid is A LOT like Norv Turner, he likes to throw deep and often...I cannot think of a worse OC for Alex Smith's skill set.

When Norv was the OC for the 49ers in 2006, Smith threw 16 TDs and 16 Ints..and people called it the best year of his career before 2011.  I expect more of the same this year with the Chiefs.

Last edited 07/22/2013 9:32 AM by SanDiegosFinest

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